TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Karel Zeman vs Jiri Vanous 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
3111012114911––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:48 and never touched — 59.2% is still 59.2%
Graded at full timeKarel Zeman to win
59.2%
59.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKarel Zeman above · Jiri Vanous below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 71 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Karel Zeman at 59.2%
71 points played in total.
H2H Karel Zeman 22–13 Jiri Vanous Jiri Vanous has won 13 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:48What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Zeman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-13 in 35
Zeman
Wrong
gap of 9 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zeman 1404 vs Vanous 1298
Zeman
Wrong
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zeman 60% vs Vanous 40%
Zeman
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zeman 60% vs Vanous 40%
Zeman
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zeman -1 · Vanous -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Zeman) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 1.50 / Vanous 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Zeman)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13203281
Zeman1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 70 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it87% 32 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it74% 52 of 70
Vanous2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 46 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back20% 12 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZeman8wins
AwayVanous2wins
Zeman leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeman88.9%8 of 9
AwayVanousn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman9Vanous1n = 10Zeman took 9 of 10
S2Zeman6Vanous4n = 10Zeman took 6 of 10
S3Zeman5Vanous5n = 10split evenly
S4Zeman5Vanous1n = 6Zeman took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZemanVanousZ − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match37.831.2+6.6per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanVanousBasisWin rate · lifetime183 / 329 vs 138 / 31755.6%43.5%183 / 329 vs 138 / 317Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanZeman 1.50/Vanous 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vanous won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 26 · 18:45K. Zeman28116741J. Vanous3631111113
WSep 19 · 17:45K. Zeman341112113J. Vanous2561090
WSep 16 · 17:40K. Zeman4312711133J. Vanous3810116111
WSep 1 · 19:10K. Zeman331111113J. Vanous165650
WAug 30 · 20:45K. Zeman4211119113J. Vanous31661181
LAug 30 · 20:15K. Zeman3091380J. Vanous371115113
WAug 25 · 19:15K. Zeman4011117113J. Vanous31971141
WJul 29 · 17:40K. Zeman331111113J. Vanous207670
WJul 16 · 18:10K. Zeman50111111173J. Vanous469139151
WJul 10 · 17:45K. Zeman45121111113J. Vanous321041351
K. Zeman10
LSep 26 · 19:45K. Zeman1.80381161J. Przybyla1.9111114113LSep 26 · 18:45K. Zeman1.44116741J. Vanous2.6331111113WSep 26 · 17:45K. Zeman1.73101112113P. Jokiel2.001291091LSep 23 · 21:20F. Theodor2.001111123K. Zeman1.7337100WSep 23 · 20:15K. Zeman1.5781113113P. Chvojka2.251161161WSep 23 · 18:45V. Reska1.8012711792K. Zeman1.911011711113LSep 23 · 18:15F. Theodor2.00891112123K. Zeman1.731111610102LSep 19 · 21:13K. Zeman1.801153101M. Janik1.9181111123WSep 19 · 19:45K. Zeman2.101051111123M. Janik1.67121179102WSep 19 · 18:45K. Zeman2.10101111113O. Skvor1.67129661
J. Vanous10
LSep 26 · 20:15J. Vanous2.20781141P. Jokiel1.6111119113WSep 26 · 18:45K. Zeman1.44116741J. Vanous2.6331111113LSep 26 · 18:15J. Przybyla1.5311713113J. Vanous2.387111131WSep 24 · 20:40J. Vanous1.53111234113R. Benesz2.38610111112LSep 24 · 19:40J. Vanous2.105590T. Ogrocki1.671111113WSep 24 · 18:40J. Vanous1.731111113R. Benesz2.005680LSep 24 · 17:40J. Vanous1.834680P. Jokiel1.831111113LSep 22 · 20:45J. Vanous1.578430R. Benesz2.251111113WSep 22 · 19:40J. Vanous2.0014117113T. Ogrocki1.731261181WSep 22 · 18:40J. Vanous1.731211113R. Benesz2.0010470
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