TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Karl Zimmermann vs Jeromy Loffler 2-3 · Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511117119811711
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:57 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarl Zimmermann to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
511117119811711
H2H Karl Zimmermann 0–3 Jeromy Loffler Karl Zimmermann has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:5754.0%Our read68.5%to break even at 1.46
short by 14.5pp68.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.46 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (64%)
Zimmermann
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Loffler
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zimmermann 1645 vs Loffler 1732
Loffler
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zimmermann 60% vs Loffler 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zimmermann 60% vs Loffler 40%
Zimmermann
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zimmermann +1 · Loffler -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Zimmermann) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Loffler form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (39%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZimmermann 1.46 / Loffler 2.56
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zimmermann)-14.5pp (anti-value)
Challenger Series TT · #13225945
Zimmermann1.46
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
67%takes the first set · 6 of 9
As favourite86% won 19 of 22
Up 2–0, closes it100% 14 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Loffler2.56
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog29% won 8 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back19% 3 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeZimmermann0wins
AwayLoffler3wins
Loffler leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZimmermannn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayLoffler100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zimmermann0Loffler3n = 3Loffler took 3 of 3
S2Zimmermann1Loffler2n = 3Loffler took 2 of 3
S3Zimmermann1Loffler2n = 3Loffler took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricZimmermannLofflerZ − LBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match30.338.3−8.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZimmermannLofflerBasisWin rate · lifetime38 / 67 vs 84 / 14956.7%56.4%38 / 67 vs 84 / 149Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.134.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZimmermannZimmermann 1.46/Loffler 2.56
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zimmermann · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Loffler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 17 · 12:00K. Zimmermann262111121J. Loffler3911134113
LAug 3 · 14:00K. Zimmermann4512118141J. Loffler4314211163
LJul 28 · 09:45K. Zimmermann206770J. Loffler331111113
K. Zimmermann10
WOct 5 · 14:00K. Zimmermann1.131111113S. Happek5.502740LOct 5 · 10:30K. Zimmermann2.1071161172C. Besnier1.67119118113LOct 5 · 08:30K. Zimmermann2.751E. Mendes1.403WOct 5 · 06:30K. Zimmermann1.3311911113P. Koloidenko3.25511291WSep 22 · 10:30K. Zimmermann1.601111113M. Stefanidis2.155370LSep 22 · 09:15O. Kosolosky—1111113K. Zimmermann—7510WSep 22 · 07:00R. Turrini1.1149100K. Zimmermann6.001111123WSep 21 · 17:30S. Happek3.2555110K. Zimmermann1.331111133LSep 21 · 14:30S. Almeida2.05116115113K. Zimmermann1.7061151162WSep 21 · 13:00C. Schmitt5.00651161K. Zimmermann1.1411119113
J. Loffler10
LOct 5 · 13:30J. Loffler—6130M. Aguirre—1111113WOct 5 · 11:30J. Loffler1.751211113O. Naplokov1.9510460WOct 5 · 10:00J. Loffler—11119113P. Koloidenko—811181WOct 5 · 08:00S. Happek—11690J. Loffler—1311113LSep 18 · 10:45J. Loffler—8360L. Qiu—1111113LSep 18 · 09:15D. Rinderer—1113113J. Loffler—31140WSep 18 · 07:30D. Zech2.754640J. Loffler1.371111113LSep 17 · 17:30J. Loffler—11119752M. Scharrer—581111113LSep 17 · 16:00E. Mendes—81111113J. Loffler—115871LSep 17 · 14:00D. Rinderer—118118113J. Loffler—51131142
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