TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Filip Karel vs Tomas Bartik 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9117111012––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
60 points played in total.
Set by set
9117111012––––
H2H Filip Karel 11–17 Tomas Bartik Filip Karel has won 11 of their 28 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Karel beat Bartik 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartik form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKarel 1.58 / Bartik 2.25
TT Cup · #13223461
Karel1.58
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 38 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it70% 26 of 37
Bartik2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog55% won 12 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back33% 4 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKarel5wins
AwayBartik5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKarel100%4 of 4
AwayBartik83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Karel4Bartik6n = 10Bartik took 6 of 10
S2Karel5Bartik5n = 10split evenly
S3Karel7Bartik3n = 10Karel took 7 of 10
S4Karel2Bartik4n = 6Bartik took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKarelBartikK − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.334.4+0.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKarelBartikBasisWin rate · lifetime109 / 196 vs 188 / 32455.6%58%109 / 196 vs 188 / 324Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KarelKarel 1.58/Bartik 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
0–3
Bartik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 30 · 16:05F. Karel331111113T. Bartik204880
LSep 18 · 12:05F. Karel27116100T. Bartik361311123
LSep 6 · 16:05F. Karel33911761T. Bartik3911611113
WSep 2 · 12:05F. Karel4413911113T. Bartik371111781
LAug 22 · 21:34F. Karel307101121T. Bartik4111127113
WAug 22 · 20:05F. Karel331111113T. Bartik218670
WAug 22 · 17:43F. Karel45411811113T. Bartik4311811942
LAug 22 · 16:05F. Karel34591191T. Bartik3711114113
LAug 18 · 21:45F. Karel34981161T. Bartik4111118113
WAug 18 · 19:05F. Karel401111183T. Bartik2958160
F. Karel10
LSep 30 · 17:14F. Karel1.6197100T. Barta2.201111123WSep 30 · 16:05F. Karel1.831111113T. Bartik1.834880LSep 30 · 15:05F. Karel1.80712391M. Mastera1.91111011113LSep 30 · 14:05F. Karel1.50116791T. Beran2.5071111113WSep 18 · 13:04J. Ruzicka2.5091090F. Karel1.501112113LSep 18 · 12:05T. Bartik1.731311123F. Karel2.00116100LSep 18 · 11:35O. Polak2.38111110113F. Karel1.53581281WSep 18 · 10:35F. Karel1.6711117113J. Ruzicka2.10551141WSep 6 · 17:18T. Trnka2.256911121F. Karel1.5711118143LSep 6 · 16:05F. Karel1.91911761T. Bartik1.8011611113
T. Bartik10
LSep 30 · 16:05F. Karel1.831111113T. Bartik1.834880LSep 30 · 15:35T. Beran2.501181111113T. Bartik1.5081113862LSep 30 · 14:35T. Bartik1.67119781M. Mastera2.1071111113LSep 18 · 13:33O. Polak1.83971111113T. Bartik1.8311117772WSep 18 · 12:05T. Bartik1.731311123F. Karel2.00116100LSep 18 · 11:05T. Bartik1.61117119102J. Ruzicka2.20911911123LSep 18 · 10:05T. Bartik1.671110691O. Polak2.1071211113WSep 17 · 21:33O. Stehlik2.50117691T. Bartik1.5051111113WSep 17 · 20:05T. Bartik1.361511106123J. Ruzicka3.001361211102WSep 6 · 16:05F. Karel1.91911761T. Bartik1.8011611113
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