TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Michal Zahradka vs Tomas Postelt 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11610121151113119
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMichal Zahradka above · Tomas Postelt below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 99 set 5, 11-9
99 points played in total.
H2H Michal Zahradka 29–23 Tomas Postelt Tomas Postelt has won 23 of their 52 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Zahradka beat Postelt 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZahradka 1.833 / Postelt 1.833
Czech Liga Pro · #13222370
Zahradka1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Postelt1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZahradka6wins
AwayPostelt4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderZahradka leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZahradka80%4 of 5
AwayPostelt60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zahradka5Postelt5n = 10split evenly
S2Zahradka7Postelt3n = 10Zahradka took 7 of 10
S3Zahradka6Postelt4n = 10Zahradka took 6 of 10
S4Zahradka4Postelt2n = 6Zahradka took 4 of 6
S5Zahradka2Postelt3n = 5Postelt took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZahradkaPosteltZ − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.636.8+4.8per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZahradkaPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime427 / 888 vs 335 / 71548.1%46.9%427 / 888 vs 335 / 715Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltZahradka 1.83/Postelt 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Zahradka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 30 · 10:00M. Zahradka331111113T. Postelt165560
LSep 17 · 03:00M. Zahradka2438130T. Postelt371111153
WSep 16 · 22:00M. Zahradka48811711113T. Postelt4011511762
LSep 13 · 20:30M. Zahradka52111115872T. Postelt55791711113
LSep 8 · 17:30M. Zahradka45101181152T. Postelt47129114113
WSep 8 · 16:30M. Zahradka381116113T. Postelt2561450
LSep 7 · 16:59M. Zahradka53716111182T. Postelt55111878113
WSep 7 · 15:00M. Zahradka341111123T. Postelt1835100
WAug 20 · 12:58M. Zahradka43311117113T. Postelt4011591142
WAug 20 · 12:30M. Zahradka46111113113T. Postelt357131141
M. Zahradka10
LSep 30 · 12:30M. Zahradka3.503880E. Mares1.281111113LSep 30 · 11:00M. Zahradka2.7511711131J. Vales1.4013114153WSep 30 · 10:00T. Postelt2.005560M. Zahradka1.731111113LSep 20 · 17:29L. Prikasky1.401111123M. Zahradka2.7548100WSep 20 · 16:00J. Mecl Jr1.678680M. Zahradka2.101111113WSep 20 · 15:00R. Rose2.209411101M. Zahradka1.6111115123LSep 20 · 14:30M. Zahradka2.63112111462L. Prikasky1.44811516113LSep 20 · 13:30M. Zahradka3.008760L. Prikasky1.361111113LSep 20 · 12:00M. Zahradka2.63117431L. Prikasky1.4471111113WSep 20 · 11:30F. Pusch2.009111561M. Zahradka1.7311717113
T. Postelt10
WSep 30 · 12:00T. Postelt2.6314131111113J. Vales1.441211131362LSep 30 · 11:30E. Mares1.9171611113T. Postelt1.801114891LSep 30 · 10:00T. Postelt2.005560M. Zahradka1.731111113LSep 29 · 13:00E. Mares1.7312911123T. Postelt2.0010116101LSep 29 · 12:00T. Postelt2.38116381J. Vales1.5381111113WSep 29 · 11:30E. Mares1.7371112882T. Postelt2.001171011113LSep 29 · 10:00T. Postelt2.385115121L. Jindrak1.5311811143WSep 24 · 17:00T. Postelt2.206121111113V. Koubek1.6111147452WSep 24 · 16:00T. Postelt2.251411113V. Koubek1.5712650LSep 24 · 15:30J. Vales1.501111113T. Postelt2.508530
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