TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Michal Brozek vs Daniel Hyza 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119115115––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:22 and never touched: 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeMichal Brozek to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Michal Brozek @ 1.73 · Won
How it is goingMichal Brozek above · Daniel Hyza below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 52 set 3, 11-5 · our read held Michal Brozek at 54.1%
52 points played in total.
H2H Michal Brozek 33–35 Daniel Hyza Michal Brozek has won 33 of their 68 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 09:2254.1%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.8pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Brozek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
33-35 in 68
Hyza
Wrong
gap of 2 in 68, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brozek 1686 vs Hyza 1615
Brozek
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brozek 80% vs Hyza 40%
Brozek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brozek 70% vs Hyza 30%
Brozek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brozek +2 · Hyza -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Brozek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brozek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozek 1.727 / Hyza 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Brozek)-3.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13221122
Brozek1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 140 of 246
Up 2–0, closes it86% 80 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it77% 109 of 142
Hyza2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog29% won 18 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back13% 5 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrozek6wins
AwayHyza4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderBrozek leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrozek66.7%4 of 6
AwayHyza50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brozek6Hyza4n = 10Brozek took 6 of 10
S2Brozek7Hyza3n = 10Brozek took 7 of 10
S3Brozek3Hyza7n = 10Hyza took 7 of 10
S4Brozek3Hyza5n = 8Hyza took 5 of 8
S5Brozek4Hyza2n = 6Brozek took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrozekHyzaB − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.939.6+1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozekHyzaBasisWin rate · lifetime520 / 997 vs 227 / 40552.2%56.1%520 / 997 vs 227 / 405Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekBrozek 1.73/Hyza 2.00
Hit
What we said
54.1%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Michal Brozek @ 1.73 · Won
What happened
3–0
Brozek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 14:55M. Brozek46114611143D. Hyza47911114122
WSep 21 · 16:55M. Brozek49111269113D. Hyza43410111172
WSep 14 · 17:04M. Brozek3811115113D. Hyza28761141
WSep 14 · 15:25M. Brozek331111113D. Hyza163850
WSep 4 · 14:00M. Brozek521111127113D. Hyza45135101162
LSep 4 · 12:50M. Brozek49111310962D. Hyza549111211113
WAug 28 · 11:25M. Brozek43371111113D. Hyza4011118462
LAug 20 · 18:25M. Brozek353119121D. Hyza4111511143
LAug 20 · 16:25M. Brozek3811116282D. Hyza45661111113
LAug 19 · 18:00M. Brozek2661370D. Hyza371115113
M. Brozek10
WSep 30 · 14:20M. Brozek1.838121011113P. Benes1.83111012872WSep 26 · 22:28M. Brozek1.53111184113P. Dvorak2.3888111132LSep 26 · 21:25M. Prochazka1.6111911113M. Brozek2.20411691WSep 26 · 20:25M. Brozek2.5091311123A. Kosacky1.5011112101WSep 26 · 18:55P. Dvorak1.832260M. Brozek1.831111113LSep 22 · 18:23M. Brozek2.10118101182P. Vanek1.67811128113WSep 22 · 17:25P. Vanek1.8081030M. Brozek1.911112113WSep 22 · 16:25M. Brozek2.201111113A. Kosacky1.619550WSep 22 · 14:55D. Hyza2.10911114122M. Brozek1.67114611143LSep 22 · 13:35J. Kocab1.441111113M. Brozek2.632630
D. Hyza10
LSep 30 · 14:50P. Dvorak1.6111611113D. Hyza2.20211451WSep 22 · 17:53D. Hyza1.75711711113A. Kosacky1.9511911672WSep 22 · 16:55D. Hyza1.8391111113A. Kosacky1.83116941LSep 22 · 15:55D. Hyza2.5011115982P. Vanek1.50771111113LSep 22 · 14:55D. Hyza2.10911114122M. Brozek1.67114611143LSep 21 · 17:58J. Kocab1.73111011113D. Hyza2.00912561LSep 21 · 16:55D. Hyza2.00410111172M. Brozek1.73111269113LSep 21 · 15:55D. Hyza1.806980J. Kocab1.911111113LSep 21 · 14:55D. Hyza1.9181070P. Benes1.801112113WSep 14 · 17:25D. Hyza1.91111012123P. Benes1.8051210101
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.