TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Petr Dvorak vs Michal Brozek 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
211211611––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Brozek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Dvorak above · Michal Brozek below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 43 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Michal Brozek at 54.0%
43 points played in total.
H2H Petr Dvorak 1–1 Michal Brozek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:07What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Brozek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Dvorak 1590 vs Brozek 1655
Brozek
Correct
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dvorak 40% vs Brozek 60%
Brozek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dvorak 40% vs Brozek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dvorak -1 · Brozek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Brozek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvorak form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDvorak 1.83 / Brozek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Brozek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13199701
Dvorak1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 31 days ago (Aug 26) · back after a break
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Brozek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 22)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeDvorak1wins
AwayBrozek1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricDvorakBrozekD − BBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match41.538.0+3.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDvorakBrozekBasisWin rate · lifetime25 / 56 vs 527 / 101844.6%51.8%25 / 56 vs 527 / 1018Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekDvorak 1.83/Brozek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Brozek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 2 · 15:25P. Dvorak48111111872M. Brozek48713611113
WNov 4 · 02:20P. Dvorak351113113M. Brozek2881190
P. Dvorak10
WSep 26 · 19:55P. Dvorak1.80118411113M. Prochazka1.9161111792LAug 26 · 16:55M. Kulisek1.7391111113P. Dvorak2.00119481WAug 26 · 16:25D. Hyza2.2069111182P. Dvorak1.61111145113LAug 26 · 15:25P. Dvorak1.831111111192O. Fiklik1.83613813113WJul 30 · 17:59P. Dvorak1.7311811113M. Prochazka2.00411541LJul 30 · 17:25P. Dvorak2.5013980D. Vesecky1.501511113WJul 30 · 15:55M. Prochazka1.73101141342P. Dvorak2.001271111113LJul 30 · 15:25D. Bochnak1.401111113P. Dvorak2.754510WJul 7 · 18:03P. Dvorak1.73101111113D. Hyza2.00123981LJul 7 · 17:25P. Dvorak2.38159100M. Kulisek1.531711123
M. Brozek10
LSep 22 · 18:23M. Brozek2.10118101182P. Vanek1.67811128113WSep 22 · 17:25P. Vanek1.8081030M. Brozek1.911112113WSep 22 · 16:25M. Brozek2.201111113A. Kosacky1.619550WSep 22 · 14:55D. Hyza2.10911114122M. Brozek1.67114611143LSep 22 · 13:35J. Kocab1.441111113M. Brozek2.632630LSep 22 · 12:50P. Benes1.8313121011123M. Brozek1.831114129102LSep 22 · 11:50M. Brozek2.3831171182J. Kocab1.53117115113LSep 22 · 10:20V. Nadvornik1.73116711113M. Brozek2.0091111982LSep 21 · 18:28P. Benes1.8011118123M. Brozek1.919711101WSep 21 · 16:55D. Hyza2.00410111172M. Brozek1.73111269113
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