TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Ales Drozd vs Oldrich Vaclahovsky 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118113611116––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingAles Drozd above · Oldrich Vaclahovsky below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 67 set 4, 11-6
67 points played in total.
H2H Ales Drozd 7–2 Oldrich Vaclahovsky Oldrich Vaclahovsky has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Drozd beat Vaclahovsky 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vaclahovsky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDrozd 1.73 / Vaclahovsky 2.00
TT Cup · #13216744
Drozd1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 49 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it67% 37 of 55
Vaclahovsky2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 30 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeDrozd7wins
AwayVaclahovsky2wins
3 of 9 to a deciderDrozd leads 7–2, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDrozd83.3%5 of 6
AwayVaclahovsky33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Drozd6Vaclahovsky3n = 9Drozd took 6 of 9
S2Drozd6Vaclahovsky3n = 9Drozd took 6 of 9
S3Drozd5Vaclahovsky4n = 9Drozd took 5 of 9
S4Drozd3Vaclahovsky3n = 6split evenly
S5Drozd3Vaclahovsky0n = 3Drozd took 3 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home333%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricDrozdVaclahovskyD − VBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match38.734.3+4.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDrozdVaclahovskyBasisWin rate · lifetime147 / 286 vs 129 / 26851.4%48.1%147 / 286 vs 129 / 268Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DrozdDrozd 1.73/Vaclahovsky 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–1
Drozd won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 29 · 09:45A. Drozd496111011113O. Vaclahovsky4211512682
WJul 6 · 12:40A. Drozd341112113O. Vaclahovsky2291030
WJul 6 · 10:45A. Drozd331111113O. Vaclahovsky185580
LJun 30 · 13:15A. Drozd33814381O. Vaclahovsky45111211113
WJun 30 · 12:15A. Drozd341112113O. Vaclahovsky2581070
WJun 25 · 11:40A. Drozd45711313113O. Vaclahovsky46119111142
LMay 4 · 07:15A. Drozd3811111061O. Vaclahovsky4151312113
WFeb 12 · 09:15A. Drozd45116116113O. Vaclahovsky3541151142
WFeb 7 · 18:20A. Drozd3712311113O. Vaclahovsky351011771
A. Drozd10
WSep 29 · 11:45A. Drozd1.40691111113M. Kliment2.7511118382WSep 29 · 10:45A. Drozd1.731111113J. Sindler2.008680WSep 29 · 09:45A. Drozd1.806111011113O. Vaclahovsky1.9111512682LSep 25 · 12:49M. Janik1.915111111113A. Drozd1.8011481392LSep 25 · 11:45A. Drozd1.67571151O. Skvor2.1011117113WSep 25 · 10:45A. Drozd2.0091115113M. Janik1.731181371LSep 25 · 09:45A. Drozd1.611221071T. Ogrocki2.20101112113WSep 21 · 13:10O. Skvor1.837990A. Drozd1.831111113LSep 21 · 11:40O. Skvor2.00132111113A. Drozd1.7311191341WSep 21 · 11:10P. Jokiel2.1011115882A. Drozd1.67961111113
O. Vaclahovsky10
WSep 29 · 12:15J. Sindler1.67791141O. Vaclahovsky2.1011119113WSep 29 · 11:15O. Vaclahovsky1.7391111113M. Kliment2.00113911LSep 29 · 09:45A. Drozd1.806111011113O. Vaclahovsky1.9111512682WSep 26 · 13:20P. Chvojka1.83119541O. Vaclahovsky1.8741111113WSep 26 · 11:40O. Vaclahovsky1.731091111113A. Strelec2.0012117872LSep 26 · 10:40O. Vaclahovsky1.801011971P. Chvojka1.9112911113WSep 26 · 09:40O. Vaclahovsky2.0013115113J. Jnr1.731191161WSep 25 · 21:10O. Vaclahovsky1.8311117113J. Przybyla1.83861181LSep 25 · 20:15O. Vaclahovsky2.259590T. Ogrocki1.571111113WSep 25 · 18:45M. Henzel2.10811761O. Vaclahovsky1.6711911113
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