TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jaroslav Sindler vs Oldrich Vaclahovsky 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711911119411––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:05 and never touched: 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Sindler to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Sindler above · Oldrich Vaclahovsky below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 73 set 4, 4-11 · our read held Jaroslav Sindler at 55.4%
73 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Sindler 6–9 Oldrich Vaclahovsky Jaroslav Sindler has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:05What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sindler
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
6-9 in 15
Vaclahovsky
Correct
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sindler 1471 vs Vaclahovsky 1444
Sindler
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sindler 80% vs Vaclahovsky 60%
Sindler
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sindler 60% vs Vaclahovsky 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sindler -1 · Vaclahovsky +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Slight lean (leans Sindler) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vaclahovsky form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSindler 1.67 / Vaclahovsky 2.10
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Sindler)-0.4pp
TT Cup · #13213837
Sindler1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 142 of 261
Up 2–0, closes it89% 50 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it69% 91 of 132
Vaclahovsky2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 30 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSindler5wins
AwayVaclahovsky5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSindler60%3 of 5
AwayVaclahovsky60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sindler5Vaclahovsky5n = 10split evenly
S2Sindler5Vaclahovsky5n = 10split evenly
S3Sindler5Vaclahovsky5n = 10split evenly
S4Sindler5Vaclahovsky3n = 8Sindler took 5 of 8
S5Sindler1Vaclahovsky2n = 3Vaclahovsky took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSindlerVaclahovskyS − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.337.3+2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSindlerVaclahovskyBasisWin rate · lifetime430 / 824 vs 128 / 26752.2%47.9%430 / 824 vs 128 / 267Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SindlerSindler 1.67/Vaclahovsky 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.4%
Sindler · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vaclahovsky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 13:10J. Sindler41981681O. Vaclahovsky47111114113
WAug 26 · 11:40J. Sindler45121111113O. Vaclahovsky25143441
WAug 7 · 09:08J. Sindler331111113O. Vaclahovsky187740
WAug 7 · 06:15J. Sindler41611211113O. Vaclahovsky4111511772
WJul 24 · 11:40J. Sindler4211118123O. Vaclahovsky399911101
LJul 22 · 11:45J. Sindler49111091182O. Vaclahovsky46612116113
LJul 15 · 13:20J. Sindler27211681O. Vaclahovsky3711411113
LJul 15 · 10:45J. Sindler511111118102O. Vaclahovsky45413511123
WJun 25 · 12:50J. Sindler4311411173O. Vaclahovsky427119151
LJun 25 · 11:10J. Sindler217950O. Vaclahovsky331111113
J. Sindler10
WSep 29 · 12:45J. Sindler1.4061111113M. Kliment2.75118631LSep 29 · 10:45A. Drozd1.731111113J. Sindler2.008680WSep 29 · 10:15M. Kliment2.00711661J. Sindler1.7311911113WSep 27 · 09:18J. Sindler1.671111113I. Jemelka2.109780WSep 27 · 07:45J. Sindler1.73511611113I. Jemelka2.0011711692WSep 27 · 06:45J. Sindler1.6181111113P. Chvojka2.20116491WSep 27 · 05:45J. Sindler1.611114113M. Sobota2.2081200LSep 26 · 08:45P. Chvojka2.25118119113J. Sindler1.5791161172WSep 26 · 07:40J. Sindler1.73881111113I. Jemelka2.0011119962LSep 26 · 06:40J. Sindler1.53511891P. Chvojka2.3811711113
O. Vaclahovsky10
WSep 29 · 11:15O. Vaclahovsky1.7391111113M. Kliment2.00113911LSep 29 · 09:45A. Drozd1.806111011113O. Vaclahovsky1.9111512682WSep 26 · 13:20P. Chvojka1.83119541O. Vaclahovsky1.8741111113WSep 26 · 11:40O. Vaclahovsky1.731091111113A. Strelec2.0012117872LSep 26 · 10:40O. Vaclahovsky1.801011971P. Chvojka1.9112911113WSep 26 · 09:40O. Vaclahovsky2.0013115113J. Jnr1.731191161WSep 25 · 21:10O. Vaclahovsky1.8311117113J. Przybyla1.83861181LSep 25 · 20:15O. Vaclahovsky2.259590T. Ogrocki1.571111113WSep 25 · 18:45M. Henzel2.10811761O. Vaclahovsky1.6711911113WSep 25 · 18:15J. Przybyla1.5381131122O. Vaclahovsky2.38117119113
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