TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Filip Marat vs Adam Kral 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711411––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:19 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Kral to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Marat above · Adam Kral below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 52 set 3, 4-11 · our read held Adam Kral at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Filip Marat 23–23 Adam Kral Dead even across their 46 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:19What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kral
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
23-23 in 46
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Marat 1433 vs Kral 1486
Kral
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Marat 60% vs Kral 40%
Marat
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Marat 40% vs Kral 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Marat +1 · Kral -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Kral) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kral form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarat 1.83 / Kral 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kral)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13213730
Marat1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Kral1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMarat5wins
AwayKral5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarat60%3 of 5
AwayKral60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marat5Kral5n = 10split evenly
S2Marat3Kral7n = 10Kral took 7 of 10
S3Marat5Kral5n = 10split evenly
S4Marat5Kral5n = 10split evenly
S5Marat4Kral2n = 6Marat took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaratKralM − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match45.045.3−0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaratKralBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 520 vs 411 / 78645.2%52.3%235 / 520 vs 411 / 786Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.040.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KralMarat 1.83/Kral 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kral · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kral won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 12:25F. Marat33118861A. Kral4181111113
LSep 22 · 11:25F. Marat47155111152A. Kral54171169113
WSep 17 · 12:25F. Marat51128145123A. Kral5410111211102
LSep 14 · 09:25F. Marat319111101A. Kral4311911123
WJul 31 · 08:25F. Marat4011117113A. Kral27581131
WJul 30 · 08:55F. Marat549101311113A. Kral45111211652
LJul 5 · 22:00F. Marat361110961A. Kral4061211113
WJul 5 · 21:25F. Marat47951111113A. Kral4511116982
WJul 3 · 10:35F. Marat571191310143A. Kral526111112122
LJul 3 · 08:55F. Marat541013911112A. Kral521211115133
F. Marat10
LSep 29 · 10:00F. Marat1.836151091J. Srnka1.83111312113WSep 29 · 07:55J. Srnka2.0011117672F. Marat1.73791111113LSep 29 · 07:25M. Filipek2.101111113F. Marat1.673680WSep 24 · 14:13F. Marat2.10891113113L. Moravec1.67111181152WSep 24 · 12:55L. Moravec1.448612101F. Marat2.63111110123LSep 24 · 12:25A. Kral1.8381111113F. Marat1.83118861LSep 24 · 11:25F. Marat1.83117381R. Jamrich1.8391111113LSep 22 · 14:35P. Chlumsky1.5011129133F. Marat2.4561011111WSep 22 · 12:55L. Moravec1.6171210151F. Marat2.20111012173LSep 22 · 12:25P. Chlumsky1.57111111153F. Marat2.256713131
A. Kral10
LSep 29 · 10:30M. Filipek1.601312113A. Kral2.20111090LSep 29 · 08:25A. Kral2.208860M. Filipek1.611111113WSep 29 · 06:55J. Srnka2.501161281A. Kral1.5031114113LSep 27 · 09:59A. Kral1.7356120Z. Zahradka2.001111143WSep 27 · 09:25Z. Zahradka1.838411101A. Kral1.8311118123LSep 27 · 08:25A. Kral1.9191111772R. Jamrich1.80116711113LSep 27 · 06:55J. Kulveit1.805111611113A. Kral1.91115141342LSep 24 · 14:45R. Jamrich2.10101111113A. Kral1.65127771LSep 24 · 13:25R. Jamrich2.50121189113A. Kral1.50109111192WSep 24 · 12:25A. Kral1.8381111113F. Marat1.83118861
Upcoming Matches
F. Marat
A. Kral
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