TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ladislav Tuma vs Petr Abraham 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1311511311911––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:48 and never touched: 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeLadislav Tuma to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLadislav Tuma above · Petr Abraham below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11 · our read held Ladislav Tuma at 56.2%
74 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Tuma 32–23 Petr Abraham Petr Abraham has won 23 of their 55 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:48What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Tuma
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
32-23 in 55
Tuma
Wrong
gap of 9 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuma 1454 vs Abraham 1454
Abraham
Correct
both rated, 0 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuma 40% vs Abraham 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuma 40% vs Abraham 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuma -1 · Abraham +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Tuma) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuma form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 1.67 / Abraham 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Tuma)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13213211
Tuma1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 24)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 56 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it91% 42 of 46
Abraham2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 24)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 23 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back18% 8 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTuma7wins
AwayAbraham3wins
Tuma leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuma85.7%6 of 7
AwayAbraham66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuma7Abraham3n = 10Tuma took 7 of 10
S2Tuma6Abraham4n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S3Tuma8Abraham2n = 10Tuma took 8 of 10
S4Tuma3Abraham3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTumaAbrahamT − ABasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.132.5+6.6per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaAbrahamBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 477 vs 203 / 39850.1%51%239 / 477 vs 203 / 398Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
TumaTuma 1.67/Abraham 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Tuma · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Abraham won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 16:28L. Tuma399101191P. Abraham4011126113
WSep 24 · 15:30L. Tuma4311912113P. Abraham358111061
WSep 15 · 15:30L. Tuma4491111133P. Abraham311154111
LJul 23 · 16:34L. Tuma361187101P. Abraham4391111123
LJul 23 · 14:00L. Tuma4210121281P. Abraham47121014113
WJun 24 · 16:59L. Tuma371511113P. Abraham2613670
WJun 24 · 16:00L. Tuma341111123P. Abraham2266100
WJun 9 · 16:00L. Tuma351311113P. Abraham2611780
WApr 22 · 16:58L. Tuma4411913113P. Abraham292111151
WApr 22 · 15:00L. Tuma371115113P. Abraham2651380
L. Tuma10
WSep 29 · 15:30K. Farsky1.539101161L. Tuma2.3811125113WSep 29 · 15:00L. Tuma1.808111111113K. Polak1.9111681362LSep 24 · 16:28L. Tuma1.579101191P. Abraham2.2511126113WSep 24 · 15:30P. Abraham2.208111061L. Tuma1.6111912113LSep 24 · 15:00L. Tuma1.5312790K. Polak2.381411113WSep 24 · 14:00L. Tuma2.63811112113K. Farsky1.4411861172LSep 21 · 21:03O. Plyska2.001111113L. Tuma1.737790WSep 21 · 20:00L. Tuma1.80111111113O. Plyska1.91138831LSep 21 · 18:30J. Vasek1.6761111113L. Tuma2.10114791WSep 21 · 18:00M. Vana2.2510870L. Tuma1.571211113
P. Abraham10
LSep 29 · 14:30K. Farsky1.501111113P. Abraham2.509750WSep 24 · 16:28L. Tuma1.579101191P. Abraham2.2511126113LSep 24 · 15:30P. Abraham2.208111061L. Tuma1.6111912113LSep 24 · 14:30P. Abraham2.50671116122K. Farsky1.501111414143LSep 24 · 13:30P. Abraham1.53118981K. Polak2.3881111113WSep 15 · 16:33T. Stejskal1.807690P. Abraham1.911111113LSep 15 · 15:30P. Abraham2.101154111L. Tuma1.6791111133LSep 15 · 14:30P. Abraham2.2012460M. Soukup1.611411113WSep 15 · 13:30P. Abraham2.0071311133T. Stejskal1.7311119111LSep 10 · 16:59P. Abraham2.109480T. Hanke1.671111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.