TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Sergii Sideltsev vs Yurii Zvolynskyi 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
14121614118––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:56 and never touched — 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeSergii Sideltsev to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSergii Sideltsev above · Yurii Zvolynskyi below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 16-14
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 75 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Sergii Sideltsev at 69.5%
75 points played in total.
H2H Sergii Sideltsev 16–13 Yurii Zvolynskyi Yurii Zvolynskyi has won 13 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:56What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Sideltsev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-13 in 29
Sideltsev
Correct
gap of 3 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sideltsev 1481 vs Zvolynskyi 1330
Sideltsev
Correct
both rated, 151 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sideltsev 60% vs Zvolynskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sideltsev 50% vs Zvolynskyi 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sideltsev +1 · Zvolynskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Sideltsev) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zvolynskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSideltsev 1.40 / Zvolynskyi 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Sideltsev)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13210717
Sideltsev1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite73% won 96 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it100% 68 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it89% 82 of 92
Zvolynskyi2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 36 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back10% 8 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSideltsev7wins
AwayZvolynskyi3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSideltsev leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSideltsev100%7 of 7
AwayZvolynskyi100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sideltsev7Zvolynskyi3n = 10Sideltsev took 7 of 10
S2Sideltsev5Zvolynskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Sideltsev7Zvolynskyi3n = 10Sideltsev took 7 of 10
S4Sideltsev4Zvolynskyi1n = 5Sideltsev took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSideltsevZvolynskyiS − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.931.9+7.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSideltsevZvolynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime252 / 431 vs 303 / 57258.5%53%252 / 431 vs 303 / 572Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SideltsevSideltsev 1.40/Zvolynskyi 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Sideltsev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sideltsev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 2 · 07:00S. Sideltsev46118115113Y. Zvolynskyi3431141152
WAug 24 · 14:00S. Sideltsev331111113Y. Zvolynskyi269890
WAug 4 · 14:00S. Sideltsev351112123Y. Zvolynskyi21110100
WJul 29 · 07:00S. Sideltsev4311118133Y. Zvolynskyi303511111
WJul 23 · 07:00S. Sideltsev46121211113Y. Zvolynskyi351014831
WJul 5 · 13:00S. Sideltsev4311119123Y. Zvolynskyi356811101
WJun 24 · 08:30S. Sideltsev341111123Y. Zvolynskyi2587100
LJun 17 · 10:34S. Sideltsev508101111102Y. Zvolynskyi48111267123
LJun 17 · 07:00S. Sideltsev209560Y. Zvolynskyi331111113
S. Sideltsev10
WSep 28 · 13:30S. Sideltsev1.33913911113I. Sorochan3.25111111732LSep 28 · 12:00S. Sideltsev1.506111091V. Simchuk2.5011912113WSep 24 · 10:08S. Sideltsev1.441311113I. Sorochan2.6311470WSep 24 · 09:00S. Sideltsev1.5711911113M. Zavoloka2.25111951LSep 24 · 08:00M. Pohorilyi1.44811111113S. Sideltsev2.6311113992LSep 24 · 07:00I. Sorochan3.4071111133S. Sideltsev1.301197111WSep 24 · 05:30S. Honcharenko4.00511711122S. Sideltsev1.22118116143LSep 20 · 10:28O. Torianyk1.40812118113S. Sideltsev2.75111071162WSep 20 · 09:30S. Sideltsev2.201111123D. Tsys1.6178100LSep 20 · 08:30S. Sideltsev3.00711851O. Torianyk1.3611911113
Y. Zvolynskyi10
LSep 28 · 14:00I. Dubinin1.401111113Y. Zvolynskyi2.757670WSep 28 · 12:30I. Sorochan2.107890Y. Zvolynskyi1.671111113LSep 27 · 17:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.258911111R. Sveshnykov1.5711118133WSep 27 · 16:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.441111113S. Honcharenko2.637850WSep 27 · 15:00A. Danylov4.331061181Y. Zvolynskyi1.2012117113LSep 27 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov1.57912118113Y. Zvolynskyi2.25111041172LSep 27 · 12:30O. Levytskyi3.4011311113Y. Zvolynskyi1.30611731WSep 21 · 10:03E. Bakin2.2521381122Y. Zvolynskyi1.571111115113LSep 21 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.6191181182I. Sorochan2.20113114113WSep 21 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.17313611113O. Shvydkyi4.50111111492
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