TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jakub Ruzicka vs Ondrej Polak 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121412118911116
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:57 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeOndrej Polak to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Ondrej Polak @ 1.73 · Lost
How it is goingJakub Ruzicka above · Ondrej Polak below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 104 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Ondrej Polak at 57.5%
104 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Ruzicka 8–7 Ondrej Polak Ondrej Polak has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:57What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Polak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-7 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1653 vs Polak 1750
Polak
Wrong
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 40% vs Polak 60%
Polak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 30% vs Polak 70%
Polak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka -1 · Polak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Polak) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 2.00 / Polak 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 58%
Edge (Polak)+3.8pp
TT Cup · #13208438
Ruzicka2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 34 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back13% 6 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Polak1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 36 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it87% 20 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it79% 26 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuzicka5wins
AwayPolak5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzicka42.9%3 of 7
AwayPolak33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka7Polak3n = 10Ruzicka took 7 of 10
S2Ruzicka4Polak6n = 10Polak took 6 of 10
S3Ruzicka5Polak5n = 10split evenly
S4Ruzicka3Polak6n = 9Polak took 6 of 9
S5Ruzicka2Polak2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuzickaPolakR − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.840.3−0.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaPolakBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 132 vs 97 / 16639.4%58.4%52 / 132 vs 97 / 166Avg sets wonper match1.72.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolakRuzicka 2.00/Polak 1.73
Miss
What we said
57.5%
Polak · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Ondrej Polak @ 1.73 · Lost
What happened
3–2
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 13:35J. Ruzicka4211811123O. Polak358116101
LSep 20 · 11:35J. Ruzicka29115941O. Polak3961111113
LSep 18 · 12:35J. Ruzicka197480O. Polak331111113
WSep 10 · 16:05J. Ruzicka49811118113O. Polak3311551112
LAug 12 · 13:35J. Ruzicka49116111292O. Polak53911814113
WAug 12 · 12:05J. Ruzicka4211119113O. Polak36891181
WJul 4 · 07:05J. Ruzicka44115116113O. Polak4391141182
LJul 3 · 17:20J. Ruzicka24115711O. Polak4181111113
WJul 3 · 15:05J. Ruzicka45121111113O. Polak35148581
LJun 30 · 13:05J. Ruzicka55111188172O. Polak55951111193
J. Ruzicka10
LSep 28 · 08:35M. Mastera1.91511411113J. Ruzicka1.8011911232LSep 28 · 06:05J. Hitzger1.671111139113J. Ruzicka2.10134111152WSep 20 · 13:35O. Polak1.338116101J. Ruzicka3.2511811123WSep 20 · 12:35A. Veliiev1.807890J. Ruzicka1.911111113LSep 20 · 11:35J. Ruzicka1.80115941O. Polak1.9161111113LSep 20 · 10:05O. Stehlik1.73111111113J. Ruzicka2.00513951LSep 18 · 13:04J. Ruzicka2.5091090F. Karel1.501112113LSep 18 · 12:35J. Ruzicka1.837480O. Polak1.831111113WSep 18 · 11:05T. Bartik1.61117119102J. Ruzicka2.20911911123LSep 18 · 10:35F. Karel1.6711117113J. Ruzicka2.10551141
O. Polak10
WSep 28 · 08:05J. Hitzger1.577101191O. Polak2.2511127113LSep 28 · 06:35O. Polak1.50109111172M. Mastera2.50121145113WSep 26 · 13:24O. Polak1.53111112113M. Holub2.38491451WSep 26 · 12:35O. Polak1.571512811113M. Holub2.25171011882LSep 26 · 11:05J. Hitzger1.801111113O. Polak1.919890WSep 26 · 10:35O. Stehlik2.2011711712O. Polak1.61811911113LSep 20 · 13:35O. Polak1.338116101J. Ruzicka3.2511811123WSep 20 · 12:05O. Stehlik1.918960O. Polak1.801111113WSep 20 · 11:35J. Ruzicka1.80115941O. Polak1.9161111113WSep 18 · 12:35J. Ruzicka1.837480O. Polak1.831111113
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