TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Viktor Sharpai vs Vitalii Kaganovych 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1168111210119––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:43 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeViktor Sharpai to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Viktor Sharpai @ 1.61 · Won
How it is goingViktor Sharpai above · Vitalii Kaganovych below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Viktor Sharpai at 59.7%
78 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Sharpai 14–7 Vitalii Kaganovych Vitalii Kaganovych has won 7 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 13:43What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sharpai
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-7 in 21
Sharpai
Correct
gap of 7 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sharpai 1417 vs Kaganovych 1397
Sharpai
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sharpai 40% vs Kaganovych 60%
Kaganovych
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sharpai 40% vs Kaganovych 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sharpai -1 · Kaganovych -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Sharpai) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaganovych form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSharpai 1.61 / Kaganovych 2.20
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Sharpai)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13208077
Sharpai1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 60 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it72% 46 of 64
Kaganovych2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 19 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back25% 7 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSharpai5wins
AwayKaganovych5wins
Level at 5–5.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSharpai60%3 of 5
AwayKaganovych60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sharpai5Kaganovych5n = 10split evenly
S2Sharpai5Kaganovych5n = 10split evenly
S3Sharpai5Kaganovych5n = 10split evenly
S4Sharpai3Kaganovych3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSharpaiKaganovychS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.333.6−0.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSharpaiKaganovychBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 520 vs 338 / 55446%61%239 / 520 vs 338 / 554Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SharpaiSharpai 1.61/Kaganovych 2.20
Hit
What we said
59.7%
Sharpai · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Viktor Sharpai @ 1.61 · Won
What happened
3–1
Sharpai won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 19:25V. Sharpai4371213113V. Kaganovych4011101181
WSep 21 · 13:05V. Sharpai3813311113V. Kaganovych371111961
WSep 14 · 16:05V. Sharpai341112113V. Kaganovych2371060
LSep 7 · 18:05V. Sharpai30411781V. Kaganovych4111811113
LSep 1 · 17:25V. Sharpai27115561V. Kaganovych3741111113
WAug 31 · 18:35V. Sharpai3851111113V. Kaganovych33119671
LAug 24 · 16:35V. Sharpai4111712111V. Kaganovych4571114133
LJul 31 · 17:25V. Sharpai2697100V. Kaganovych341111123
LJul 15 · 14:05V. Sharpai239590V. Kaganovych331111113
WJul 14 · 17:55V. Sharpai331111113V. Kaganovych138230
V. Sharpai10
LSep 28 · 12:35V. Sharpai1.40111211652F. Chashchin2.75814611113WSep 22 · 19:25V. Kaganovych2.1011101181V. Sharpai1.6771213113WSep 22 · 18:25V. Sharpai1.671111113V. Hainiuk2.109650LSep 22 · 17:25V. Sharpai1.91117561A. Lifanov1.8091111113LSep 22 · 15:55V. Sharpai1.7359111162A. Yakovenko2.00111197113LSep 22 · 13:55V. Sharpai1.8056120I. Yelfimov1.911111143WSep 21 · 18:35I. Yelfimov1.911151161V. Sharpai1.8013116113LSep 21 · 17:35V. Sharpai1.57611231V. Hainiuk2.2511311113WSep 21 · 16:35V. Sharpai1.731111113V. Slabyshev2.009930LSep 21 · 15:05V. Sharpai1.8395111232A. Lifanov1.831111810113
V. Kaganovych10
LSep 28 · 13:05O. Korobov1.5391112113V. Kaganovych2.381171061WSep 25 · 19:35V. Husiev4.00781171V. Kaganovych1.2211115113WSep 25 · 18:05V. Kaganovych1.2581111103A. Azarov3.75118751WSep 25 · 16:05V. Chumak1.911181341V. Kaganovych1.809111583LSep 25 · 14:05D. Boltenkov2.5091112113V. Kaganovych1.501191051LSep 25 · 13:05V. Sydorenko2.631111113V. Kaganovych1.449980LSep 22 · 19:25V. Kaganovych2.1011101181V. Sharpai1.6771213113LSep 22 · 17:55V. Kaganovych2.1011861262A. Yakovenko1.676111110113WSep 22 · 16:25V. Kaganovych1.5014117123V. Hainiuk2.5012711101LSep 22 · 14:55V. Kaganovych1.534780I. Yelfimov2.381111113
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