TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Richard Wagner vs Ondrej Svacha 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1148111181210––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:52 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeOndrej Svacha to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRichard Wagner above · Ondrej Svacha below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 75 set 4, 12-10 · our read held Ondrej Svacha at 58.9%
75 points played in total.
H2H Richard Wagner 1–2 Ondrej Svacha Richard Wagner has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 00:52What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Svacha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wagner 1686 vs Svacha 1677
Wagner
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wagner 80% vs Svacha 40%
Wagner
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wagner 50% vs Svacha 20%
Wagner
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wagner -1 · Svacha -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Svacha) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svacha form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWagner 2.25 / Svacha 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Svacha)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13207222
Wagner2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 34 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Svacha1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 94 of 158
Up 2–0, closes it95% 53 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it78% 73 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeWagner1wins
AwaySvacha2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSvacha leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wagner1Svacha2n = 3Svacha took 2 of 3
S2Wagner1Svacha2n = 3Svacha took 2 of 3
S3Wagner0Svacha3n = 3Svacha took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricWagnerSvachaW − SBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match36.042.3−6.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWagnerSvachaBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 223 vs 400 / 79853.4%50.1%119 / 223 vs 400 / 798Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvachaWagner 2.25/Svacha 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Svacha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wagner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 10 · 20:30R. Wagner173950O. Svacha331111113
WAug 5 · 03:30R. Wagner52117914113O. Svacha52911111292
LAug 4 · 22:00R. Wagner399119101O. Svacha4211811123
R. Wagner10
LSep 29 · 02:00R. Wagner1.5781111682S. Kasnik2.25116911113LSep 29 · 00:00J. Tazler1.91119714113R. Wagner1.80911111282WSep 28 · 22:30M. Skakal2.0051090R. Wagner1.731112113WSep 24 · 03:30J. Tazler1.601371091R. Wagner2.20111112113WSep 24 · 02:30T. Franek1.839119101R. Wagner1.8311911123WSep 24 · 01:00S. Kasnik2.2511175962R. Wagner1.576151111113LSep 23 · 23:30R. Wagner1.807880J. Tazler1.911111113WSep 23 · 22:00R. Wagner2.1011118113M. Sychra1.67761191LSep 22 · 13:00M. Regner1.801112113R. Wagner1.8581070LSep 22 · 12:30R. Wagner2.2011711792V. Kolar1.61811611113
O. Svacha10
LSep 28 · 23:30O. Svacha1.57911981M. Skakal2.2511911113WSep 28 · 22:00O. Svacha1.361111113S. Kasnik3.002250LSep 27 · 20:59O. Svacha1.73311881F. Pusch2.0011711113LSep 27 · 20:00F. Pusch2.00341111123O. Svacha1.73111198102WSep 27 · 19:00J. Mecl Jr1.4411115892O. Svacha2.63831111113LSep 27 · 18:30O. Svacha2.20511971R. Urbaniec1.6111511113LSep 26 · 21:00T. Franek1.911111143O. Svacha1.8089120LSep 26 · 20:00J. Mecl Jr1.501211123O. Svacha2.50108100LSep 26 · 19:00R. Urbaniec1.611111117113O. Svacha2.2013871152LSep 26 · 18:30O. Svacha1.83146117102T. Franek1.831211811123
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