TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Ondrej Cmerda vs Martin Skakal 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8117111113––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:25 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeOndrej Cmerda to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Cmerda above · Martin Skakal below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 61 set 3, 11-13 · our read held Ondrej Cmerda at 55.8%
61 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:25What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Cmerda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Cmerda 1717 vs Skakal 1710
Cmerda
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cmerda 60% vs Skakal 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cmerda 50% vs Skakal 70%
Skakal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cmerda +1 · Skakal -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Cmerda) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skakal form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCmerda 1.67 / Skakal 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Cmerda)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13206967
Cmerda1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 25 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it75% 18 of 24
Skakal2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 26 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back29% 11 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricCmerdaSkakalBasisWin rate · lifetime175 / 338 vs 87 / 16751.8%52.1%175 / 338 vs 87 / 167Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CmerdaCmerda 1.67/Skakal 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Cmerda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skakal won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Cmerda10
LSep 28 · 21:00O. Cmerda1.80411681V. Nohejl1.9111411113WSep 28 · 19:00O. Cmerda1.7311125113V. Nohejl2.009101161LSep 28 · 18:00R. Urbaniec2.00111110113O. Cmerda1.73891281LSep 22 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.10812119113O. Cmerda1.65111091162WSep 22 · 20:00R. Urbaniec1.9191111772O. Cmerda1.80115911113WSep 22 · 19:00P. Saleny1.838111191O. Cmerda1.8311138113LSep 22 · 18:30O. Cmerda1.6141151272V. Nohejl2.201191110113LSep 19 · 13:30F. Pusch1.91111211113O. Cmerda1.807101371WSep 19 · 12:30F. Pusch1.73561171O. Cmerda2.0011118113WSep 19 · 11:30O. Cmerda2.1061111133M. Wagner1.671196111
M. Skakal10
LSep 28 · 19:30M. Skakal2.6371191172R. Urbaniec1.44115115113WSep 28 · 18:30V. Nohejl1.571114111162M. Skakal2.25216513113WSep 27 · 03:00M. Klement2.101091151M. Skakal1.6712119113LSep 27 · 02:30T. Franek1.801111113M. Skakal1.916450WSep 27 · 01:00M. Klement1.9110880M. Skakal1.801211113LSep 26 · 23:30M. Skakal1.576101191J. Tazler2.2511126113WSep 26 · 22:00M. Skakal1.571511113M. Regner2.2513580WSep 23 · 03:30M. Sychra1.736111251M. Skakal2.00111310113WSep 23 · 02:30M. Skakal1.91101111113M. Klement1.80128991WSep 23 · 01:30M. Regner2.10115481M. Skakal1.6741111113
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