TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Piotr Chodorski vs Kacper Petas 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 28Finished
Piotr Chodorski
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119611411114611
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:54 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeKacper Petas to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Chodorski above · Kacper Petas below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 84 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Kacper Petas at 58.1%
84 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Chodorski 21–26 Kacper Petas Piotr Chodorski has won 21 of their 47 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:54What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Petas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-26 in 47
Petas
Correct
gap of 5 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chodorski 1779 vs Petas 1884
Petas
Correct
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chodorski 60% vs Petas 40%
Chodorski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chodorski 60% vs Petas 40%
Chodorski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chodorski +1 · Petas +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Petas) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Petas form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChodorski 2.20 / Petas 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Petas)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13206325
Chodorski2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Petas1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 170 of 263
Up 2–0, closes it96% 97 of 101
Up 1–0, closes it76% 133 of 174
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChodorski5wins
AwayPetas5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChodorski66.7%4 of 6
AwayPetas75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chodorski6Petas4n = 10Chodorski took 6 of 10
S2Chodorski5Petas5n = 10split evenly
S3Chodorski3Petas7n = 10Petas took 7 of 10
S4Chodorski4Petas3n = 7Chodorski took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricChodorskiPetasC − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.334.6−0.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChodorskiPetasBasisWin rate · lifetime197 / 383 vs 688 / 130251.4%52.8%197 / 383 vs 688 / 1302Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PetasChodorski 2.20/Petas 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Petas · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Petas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 28 · 10:00P. Chodorski3811641162K. Petas46911114113
WSep 28 · 05:40P. Chodorski331111113K. Petas216690
LApr 1 · 09:35P. Chodorski228680K. Petas331111113
LMar 31 · 12:00P. Chodorski29113691K. Petas3851111113
WMar 31 · 04:20P. Chodorski43111128113K. Petas3877111122
WMar 30 · 14:45P. Chodorski44101112113K. Petas391281091
WMar 25 · 12:30P. Chodorski4011117113K. Petas31591161
WMar 25 · 08:10P. Chodorski3811511113K. Petas24511531
LMar 24 · 13:25P. Chodorski367117111K. Petas4311811133
LMar 24 · 06:05P. Chodorski207850K. Petas331111113
P. Chodorski10
WSep 28 · 09:00P. Chodorski1.831111123T. Spanik1.8325100LSep 28 · 08:05P. Chodorski1.83911831T. Spanik1.8311411113WSep 28 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.671156111P. Chodorski2.1081111133WSep 28 · 05:40K. Petas2.006690P. Chodorski1.731111113LSep 28 · 04:55P. Chodorski2.25111111792G. Felkel1.57971311113LSep 28 · 03:45P. Chodorski1.91101181472M. Jadczyk1.801251112113LSep 2 · 16:40P. Chodorski1.4484111152R. Formela2.6311116363WAug 30 · 17:30P. Chodorski—71111113F. Wetzel—114371WAug 29 · 17:00A. Stalzer—5990P. Chodorski—1111113WAug 28 · 17:39J. Cavaille1.6131181142P. Chodorski2.2011511363
K. Petas10
WSep 28 · 09:20K. Petas2.0011912113J. Kosowski1.735111091LSep 28 · 08:30K. Petas1.611111871G. Felkel2.2013611113WSep 28 · 06:55K. Petas1.911211113M. Jadczyk1.8010650LSep 28 · 05:40K. Petas2.006690P. Chodorski1.731111113LSep 28 · 04:10K. Petas2.25991181J. Kosowski1.5711116113WSep 28 · 03:00K. Petas2.101111113T. Spanik1.676970LSep 27 · 14:35K. Petas1.9167110M. Miastowski1.801111133LSep 27 · 12:55K. Petas2.105161151M. Jadczyk1.6711185113WSep 27 · 11:40K. Petas1.2511117113G. Adamiak3.75991141LSep 27 · 10:00K. Petas1.80711891K. Kolodziej1.9111911113
Upcoming Matches
P. Chodorski
Sep 28 · 11:40P. Chodorski2.10G. Felkel1.67—Sep 28 · 12:55P. Chodorski2.00M. Jadczyk1.73—Sep 28 · 14:35P. Chodorski2.38J. Kosowski1.53—Sep 29 · 03:25P. Chodorski2.38J. Kosowski1.53—Sep 29 · 04:10P. Chodorski2.10G. Felkel1.67—Sep 29 · 05:15P. Chodorski1.91J. Zandecki1.80—Sep 29 · 06:30P. Chodorski2.10P. David1.67—Sep 29 · 07:45P. Chodorski1.83A. Wiecek1.83—Sep 29 · 09:40P. Chodorski2.38J. Kosowski1.53—Sep 29 · 10:50P. Chodorski2.10P. David1.67—
K. Petas
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