TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kacper Petas vs Grzegorz Adamiak 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119119711114––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:26 and never touched — 81.3% is still 81.3%
Graded at full timeKacper Petas to win
81.3%
81.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKacper Petas above · Grzegorz Adamiak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 73 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Kacper Petas at 81.3%
73 points played in total.
H2H Kacper Petas 55–14 Grzegorz Adamiak Grzegorz Adamiak has won 14 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:26What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Petas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
55-14 in 69
Petas
Correct
gap of 41 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Petas 1949 vs Adamiak 1734
Petas
Correct
both rated, 215 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Petas 60% vs Adamiak 20%
Petas
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Petas 70% vs Adamiak 20%
Petas
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Petas -1 · Adamiak -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Petas)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Petas form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPetas 1.25 / Adamiak 3.75
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Petas)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13203191
Petas1.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 172 of 266
Up 2–0, closes it95% 96 of 101
Up 1–0, closes it76% 133 of 175
Adamiak3.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog29% won 67 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back16% 24 of 152
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePetas9wins
AwayAdamiak1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPetas leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePetas90%9 of 10
AwayAdamiakn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Petas10Adamiak0n = 10Petas took 10 of 10
S2Petas8Adamiak2n = 10Petas took 8 of 10
S3Petas8Adamiak2n = 10Petas took 8 of 10
S4Petas1Adamiak2n = 3Adamiak took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home770%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPetasAdamiakP − ABasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set100+10of 10Avg pointsper match35.525.3+10.2per matchSweeps70+73–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPetasAdamiakBasisWin rate · lifetime684 / 1293 vs 325 / 75552.9%43.1%684 / 1293 vs 325 / 755Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.935.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PetasPetas 1.25/Adamiak 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.3%
Petas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Petas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 11:40K. Petas4011117113G. Adamiak33991141
WSep 27 · 03:25K. Petas331111113G. Adamiak105320
WSep 26 · 11:15K. Petas48116119113G. Adamiak4451191182
WSep 26 · 03:00K. Petas381111163G. Adamiak2446140
WSep 13 · 11:15K. Petas341211113G. Adamiak2210840
WSep 13 · 03:00K. Petas331111113G. Adamiak198830
WSep 12 · 13:20K. Petas331111113G. Adamiak164570
LSep 12 · 07:45K. Petas29115671G. Adamiak4291111113
WJul 29 · 10:50K. Petas331111113G. Adamiak228680
WJul 29 · 03:25K. Petas341211113G. Adamiak2110740
K. Petas10
LSep 27 · 10:00K. Petas1.80711891K. Kolodziej1.9111911113WSep 27 · 09:00K. Petas2.001112113T. Spanik1.7371040LSep 27 · 07:45K. Petas2.107570M. Jadczyk1.671111113WSep 27 · 06:30K. Petas1.831111123M. Miastowski1.8376100WSep 27 · 05:15K. Petas1.8361211113T. Spanik1.831110831LSep 27 · 04:10K. Kolodziej1.831311113K. Petas1.8311820WSep 27 · 03:25K. Petas1.251111113G. Adamiak3.755320WSep 26 · 14:10A. Abbasi2.001191051K. Petas1.7391112113WSep 26 · 13:20K. Kolodziej1.8081160K. Petas1.911113113WSep 26 · 11:15G. Adamiak3.7551191182K. Petas1.25116119113
G. Adamiak10
LSep 27 · 10:50G. Adamiak2.201210811112M. Miastowski1.611012115133LSep 27 · 09:40G. Adamiak2.759360M. Jadczyk1.401111113WSep 27 · 08:30K. Kolodziej1.73911911112G. Adamiak2.00113114133LSep 27 · 07:20G. Adamiak2.38911391T. Spanik1.5311911113LSep 27 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.3611115113G. Adamiak3.00891181LSep 27 · 04:55M. Miastowski1.531111133G. Adamiak2.3884110LSep 27 · 03:25K. Petas1.251111113G. Adamiak3.755320WSep 26 · 13:45G. Adamiak2.25711512113M. Miastowski1.57119111042LSep 26 · 12:30G. Adamiak2.6341191192A. Abbasi1.44119119113LSep 26 · 11:15G. Adamiak3.7551191182K. Petas1.25116119113
Upcoming Matches
K. Petas
Sep 27 · 12:55K. Petas2.10M. Jadczyk1.67—Sep 27 · 14:35K. Petas1.83M. Miastowski1.83—Sep 28 · 03:00K. Petas—T. Spanik——Sep 28 · 04:10K. Petas—J. Kosowski——Sep 28 · 05:40K. Petas—P. Chodorski——Sep 28 · 06:55K. Petas1.91M. Jadczyk1.80—Sep 28 · 09:20K. Petas—J. Kosowski——Sep 28 · 10:00K. Petas—P. Chodorski——Sep 28 · 11:15K. Petas2.10T. Spanik1.67—Sep 28 · 12:30K. Petas1.73G. Felkel2.00—
G. Adamiak
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