TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Grzegorz Adamiak vs Amirreza Abbasi 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411119911119911
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:36 and never touched — 68.0% is still 68.0%
Graded at full timeAmirreza Abbasi to win
68.0%
68.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGrzegorz Adamiak above · Amirreza Abbasi below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 95 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Amirreza Abbasi at 68.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Adamiak 8–26 Amirreza Abbasi Grzegorz Adamiak has won 8 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:36What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Abbasi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-26 in 34
Abbasi
Correct
gap of 18 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamiak 1794 vs Abbasi 1932
Abbasi
Correct
both rated, 137 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamiak 80% vs Abbasi 60%
Adamiak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamiak 50% vs Abbasi 70%
Abbasi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamiak -1 · Abbasi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Abbasi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamiak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamiak 2.63 / Abbasi 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Abbasi)+3.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13194785
Adamiak2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog28% won 62 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back15% 22 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 93
Abbasi1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite70% won 79 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it95% 40 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it92% 65 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamiak4wins
AwayAbbasi6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderAbbasi leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamiak75%3 of 4
AwayAbbasi83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamiak4Abbasi6n = 10Abbasi took 6 of 10
S2Adamiak4Abbasi6n = 10Abbasi took 6 of 10
S3Adamiak5Abbasi5n = 10split evenly
S4Adamiak5Abbasi3n = 8Adamiak took 5 of 8
S5Adamiak1Abbasi3n = 4Abbasi took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamiakAbbasiAdamiak − AbbasiBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.140.0+1.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamiakAbbasiBasisWin rate · lifetime323 / 745 vs 189 / 39643.4%47.7%323 / 745 vs 189 / 396Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AbbasiAdamiak 2.63/Abbasi 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68%
Abbasi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Abbasi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 16 · 10:50G. Adamiak50911111092A. Abbasi45119212113
WJun 13 · 11:10G. Adamiak4111811113A. Abbasi24111751
LJun 13 · 06:40G. Adamiak351151181A. Abbasi4161113113
WJun 7 · 10:25G. Adamiak48121411113A. Abbasi401016861
LJun 6 · 12:25G. Adamiak206770A. Abbasi331111113
LJun 6 · 05:05G. Adamiak2593130A. Abbasi371111153
LMay 17 · 14:30G. Adamiak50111111982A. Abbasi48137611113
WMay 3 · 15:10G. Adamiak4291111113A. Abbasi33115981
LMay 2 · 13:40G. Adamiak45411101192A. Abbasi49117128113
WMar 22 · 12:35G. Adamiak551311911113A. Abbasi50111311962
G. Adamiak10
WSep 26 · 13:45G. Adamiak2.25711512113M. Miastowski1.57119111042LSep 26 · 11:15G. Adamiak3.7551191182K. Petas1.25116119113WSep 26 · 10:00T. Spanik1.5711119562G. Adamiak2.25561111113WSep 26 · 09:20G. Adamiak1.9111116113K. Kolodziej1.80671161WSep 26 · 08:30G. Adamiak2.10113411113M. Miastowski1.6761111742WSep 26 · 06:55G. Adamiak2.751191113113M. Jadczyk1.4071171592LSep 26 · 05:40G. Adamiak2.50891191T. Spanik1.5011119113LSep 26 · 04:10G. Adamiak3.75710120J. Folwarski1.251112143LSep 26 · 03:00G. Adamiak3.7546140K. Petas1.251111163LSep 13 · 13:45G. Adamiak2.75711771M. Jadczyk1.4011511113
A. Abbasi10
LSep 26 · 11:40T. Spanik1.7314511113A. Abbasi2.001211791WSep 26 · 10:50A. Abbasi1.671111123K. Kolodziej2.1077100WSep 26 · 09:40A. Abbasi1.53911118133M. Miastowski2.38116611112LSep 25 · 08:05J. Kuzmicz2.2051112113A. Abbasi1.611151081WSep 25 · 07:20P. David2.0041161182A. Abbasi1.73113113113WSep 25 · 05:15M. Miastowski2.25411261A. Abbasi1.5711811113LSep 25 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.801111113A. Abbasi1.917660WSep 25 · 03:00K. Wloczko3.2595110A. Abbasi1.331111133WSep 24 · 08:05A. Abbasi1.531211113J. Zandecki2.3810680WSep 24 · 06:30J. Kuzmicz2.25611761A. Abbasi1.5711811113
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