TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Kuzmicz vs Amirreza Abbasi 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
5111151210118––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:42 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeAmirreza Abbasi to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Kuzmicz above · Amirreza Abbasi below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 73 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Amirreza Abbasi at 57.7%
73 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kuzmicz 1–2 Amirreza Abbasi Jakub Kuzmicz has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:42What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Abbasi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmicz 1842 vs Abbasi 1963
Abbasi
Wrong
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmicz 20% vs Abbasi 80%
Abbasi
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmicz 20% vs Abbasi 70%
Abbasi
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmicz -2 · Abbasi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Abbasi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Abbasi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmicz 2.20 / Abbasi 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Abbasi)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13188893
Kuzmicz2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog51% won 126 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back32% 37 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 40
Abbasi1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite70% won 77 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it95% 40 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it93% 63 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKuzmicz1wins
AwayAbbasi2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderAbbasi leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmicz1Abbasi2n = 3Abbasi took 2 of 3
S2Kuzmicz2Abbasi1n = 3Kuzmicz took 2 of 3
S3Kuzmicz1Abbasi2n = 3Abbasi took 2 of 3
S4Kuzmicz0Abbasi3n = 3Abbasi took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKuzmiczAbbasiK − ABasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match38.344.0−5.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmiczAbbasiBasisWin rate · lifetime705 / 1227 vs 189 / 39857.5%47.5%705 / 1227 vs 189 / 398Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.037.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AbbasiKuzmicz 2.20/Abbasi 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Abbasi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kuzmicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 24 · 06:30J. Kuzmicz30611761A. Abbasi4111811113
LAug 16 · 08:05J. Kuzmicz355111091A. Abbasi4311912113
WApr 5 · 12:00J. Kuzmicz50118119113A. Abbasi4891191182
J. Kuzmicz10
LSep 25 · 06:30M. Miastowski1.731111113J. Kuzmicz2.009780LSep 25 · 05:40K. Wloczko2.00118127113J. Kuzmicz1.73611101172WSep 25 · 04:55J. Kuzmicz2.75412811113P. David1.40111011962LSep 25 · 03:45J. Kuzmicz2.00671191M. Jadczyk1.7311115113LSep 24 · 07:45J. Kuzmicz4.0091171142P. David1.22119118113LSep 24 · 06:30J. Kuzmicz2.25611761A. Abbasi1.5711811113LSep 24 · 05:15J. Kuzmicz2.38112941J. Zandecki1.5361111113LSep 24 · 04:10S. Kolasa1.8311911113J. Kuzmicz1.83611691LSep 24 · 03:25J. Kuzmicz2.6391191182A. Grela1.44116119113WSep 23 · 08:05A. Grela1.4057111192J. Kuzmicz2.75111187113
A. Abbasi10
WSep 25 · 07:20P. David2.0041161182A. Abbasi1.73113113113WSep 25 · 05:15M. Miastowski2.25411261A. Abbasi1.5711811113LSep 25 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.801111113A. Abbasi1.917660WSep 25 · 03:00K. Wloczko3.2595110A. Abbasi1.331111133WSep 24 · 08:05A. Abbasi1.531211113J. Zandecki2.3810680WSep 24 · 06:30J. Kuzmicz2.25611761A. Abbasi1.5711811113WSep 24 · 05:40S. Kolasa1.91911911102A. Abbasi1.80119118123WSep 24 · 04:55A. Abbasi1.801113113A. Grela1.9181180LSep 24 · 03:45A. Abbasi2.0041111672P. David1.73118611113LSep 16 · 12:25H. Suzuki2.00121116113A. Abbasi1.71101181192
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