TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Kuzmicz vs Jan Zandecki 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Jakub Kuzmicz
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116211911411––
Jan Zandecki
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:41 and never touched — 64.3% is still 64.3%
Graded at full timeJan Zandecki to win
64.3%
64.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Kuzmicz above · Jan Zandecki below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 65 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Jan Zandecki at 64.3%
65 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kuzmicz 2–9 Jan Zandecki Jakub Kuzmicz has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 22h before this match
Zandecki beat Kuzmicz 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:41What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Zandecki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-9 in 11
Zandecki
Correct
gap of 7 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmicz 1883 vs Zandecki 1960
Zandecki
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmicz 40% vs Zandecki 80%
Zandecki
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmicz 50% vs Zandecki 70%
Zandecki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmicz -2 · Zandecki -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Zandecki) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zandecki form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmicz 2.38 / Zandecki 1.53
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Zandecki)+4.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13183312
Kuzmicz2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 126 of 245
Down 0–1, comes back33% 37 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 39
Zandecki1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite67% won 120 of 179
Up 2–0, closes it94% 51 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it77% 85 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmicz2wins
AwayZandecki8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderZandecki leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmicz25%1 of 4
AwayZandecki83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmicz4Zandecki6n = 10Zandecki took 6 of 10
S2Kuzmicz4Zandecki6n = 10Zandecki took 6 of 10
S3Kuzmicz3Zandecki7n = 10Zandecki took 7 of 10
S4Kuzmicz3Zandecki6n = 9Zandecki took 6 of 9
S5Kuzmicz2Zandecki3n = 5Zandecki took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmiczZandeckiK − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.743.0−4.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmiczZandeckiBasisWin rate · lifetime704 / 1221 vs 464 / 83357.7%55.7%704 / 1221 vs 464 / 833Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZandeckiKuzmicz 2.38/Zandecki 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.1%
Zandecki · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zandecki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 05:15J. Kuzmicz26112941J. Zandecki3961111113
LSep 23 · 07:20J. Kuzmicz34116891J. Zandecki4291111113
LSep 18 · 10:00J. Kuzmicz4281231182J. Zandecki501110117113
LSep 18 · 06:30J. Kuzmicz33119941J. Zandecki4071111113
WAug 24 · 09:40J. Kuzmicz52119911123J. Zandecki48711119102
LAug 24 · 08:30J. Kuzmicz4351171192J. Zandecki47116118113
LJul 26 · 14:10J. Kuzmicz2681170J. Zandecki351113113
WJul 26 · 07:20J. Kuzmicz506111111113J. Zandecki4011651352
LApr 18 · 06:15J. Kuzmicz4251111692J. Zandecki44119211113
LApr 6 · 15:10J. Kuzmicz3911611111J. Zandecki4513118133
J. Kuzmicz10
LSep 24 · 06:30J. Kuzmicz2.25611761A. Abbasi1.5711811113LSep 24 · 04:10S. Kolasa1.8311911113J. Kuzmicz1.83611691LSep 24 · 03:25J. Kuzmicz2.6391191182A. Grela1.44116119113WSep 23 · 08:05A. Grela1.4057111192J. Kuzmicz2.75111187113LSep 23 · 07:20J. Zandecki1.6191111113J. Kuzmicz2.20116891WSep 23 · 05:15S. Kolasa1.83811991J. Kuzmicz1.8311711113WSep 23 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.83118891J. Kuzmicz1.8391111113WSep 23 · 03:00J. Kosowski1.448750J. Kuzmicz2.631111113LSep 22 · 14:15K. Strowski2.25128711123J. Kuzmicz1.571011116102LSep 22 · 13:25D. Prokopcov3.2011811113J. Kuzmicz1.30911791
J. Zandecki10
LSep 24 · 04:30P. David1.5311511113J. Zandecki2.38911681WSep 24 · 03:00S. Kolasa2.25119481J. Zandecki1.5781111113WSep 23 · 14:10J. Zandecki1.53118119113K. Kolodziej2.3841171132WSep 23 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.836101151J. Zandecki1.8311123113WSep 23 · 11:40A. Grela1.73124491J. Zandecki2.00101111113LSep 23 · 10:50J. Zandecki1.731012581S. Kolasa2.00121011113WSep 23 · 09:40J. Zandecki1.40111111113K. Strowski2.75132481LSep 23 · 08:30J. Kosowski1.73114811113J. Zandecki2.0071111692WSep 23 · 07:20J. Zandecki1.6191111113J. Kuzmicz2.20116891WSep 23 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.7311971162J. Zandecki2.00811117113
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