TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jan Zandecki vs Szymon Kolasa 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Jan Zandecki
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121210511811––
Szymon Kolasa
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Zandecki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Zandecki above · Szymon Kolasa below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 79 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jan Zandecki at 54.0%
79 points played in total.
H2H Jan Zandecki 17–17 Szymon Kolasa Dead even across their 34 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:43What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zandecki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-17 in 34
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zandecki 1927 vs Kolasa 1845
Zandecki
Wrong
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zandecki 80% vs Kolasa 20%
Zandecki
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zandecki 60% vs Kolasa 30%
Zandecki
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zandecki +1 · Kolasa -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Zandecki) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolasa form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZandecki 1.73 / Kolasa 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Zandecki)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13177369
Zandecki1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 116 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it94% 51 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it76% 84 of 110
Kolasa2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 55 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back32% 28 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZandecki4wins
AwayKolasa6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKolasa leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZandecki66.7%4 of 6
AwayKolasa100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zandecki6Kolasa4n = 10Zandecki took 6 of 10
S2Zandecki5Kolasa5n = 10split evenly
S3Zandecki4Kolasa6n = 10Kolasa took 6 of 10
S4Zandecki5Kolasa3n = 8Zandecki took 5 of 8
S5Zandecki1Kolasa4n = 5Kolasa took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZandeckiKolasaZ − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.338.6+0.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZandeckiKolasaBasisWin rate · lifetime459 / 826 vs 260 / 47855.6%54.4%459 / 826 vs 260 / 478Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZandeckiZandecki 1.73/Kolasa 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Zandecki · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kolasa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 03:25J. Zandecki48111181172S. Kolasa50713118113
WJul 31 · 12:30J. Zandecki47117117113S. Kolasa4281171152
WJul 31 · 04:10J. Zandecki3711114113S. Kolasa23381111
LJul 30 · 09:00J. Zandecki31611681S. Kolasa3911611113
LJul 30 · 04:30J. Zandecki4371171172S. Kolasa46116117113
LJul 14 · 04:10J. Zandecki4111412862S. Kolasa518111011113
LJun 18 · 09:20J. Zandecki3971141162S. Kolasa48118117113
WJun 18 · 04:10J. Zandecki381116113S. Kolasa2231450
LJun 17 · 09:00J. Zandecki258980S. Kolasa331111113
WJun 17 · 06:30J. Zandecki44111111113S. Kolasa32513951
J. Zandecki10
WSep 23 · 11:40A. Grela1.73124491J. Zandecki2.00101111113WSep 23 · 09:40J. Zandecki1.40111111113K. Strowski2.75132481LSep 23 · 08:30J. Kosowski1.73114811113J. Zandecki2.0071111692WSep 23 · 07:20J. Zandecki1.6191111113J. Kuzmicz2.20116891WSep 23 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.7311971162J. Zandecki2.00811117113WSep 23 · 04:55A. Grela1.7385111142J. Zandecki2.00111178113LSep 23 · 03:25S. Kolasa1.91713118113J. Zandecki1.80111181172LSep 18 · 15:25D. Wederlich2.00491311113J. Zandecki1.73111111552LSep 18 · 14:35J. Stecyszyn3.901111113J. Zandecki1.178970WSep 18 · 12:30A. Grela1.91641181J. Zandecki1.8011118113
S. Kolasa10
LSep 23 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.6711117113S. Kolasa2.10971141WSep 23 · 07:45S. Kolasa2.20981111113M. Jadczyk1.6111117792LSep 23 · 06:30S. Kolasa2.25511971A. Grela1.5711011113LSep 23 · 05:15S. Kolasa1.83811991J. Kuzmicz1.8311711113LSep 23 · 04:10J. Kosowski1.73711119113S. Kolasa2.0011361132WSep 23 · 03:25S. Kolasa1.91713118113J. Zandecki1.80111181172LSep 7 · 13:45S. Kolasa3.251638101J. Folwarski1.33141111123WSep 7 · 12:30S. Kolasa1.734111110113K. Kolodziej2.0011251282LSep 7 · 10:00P. David1.73141711113S. Kolasa2.001219361LSep 7 · 09:20S. Kolasa2.1011760J. Kosowski1.671311113
Upcoming Matches
J. Zandecki
Sep 23 · 12:30J. Zandecki1.83J. Kosowski1.83—Sep 23 · 14:10J. Zandecki1.53K. Kolodziej2.38—Sep 24 · 03:00J. Zandecki1.73S. Kolasa2.00—Sep 24 · 04:30J. Zandecki2.38P. David1.53—Sep 24 · 05:15J. Zandecki1.53J. Kuzmicz2.38—Sep 24 · 07:20J. Zandecki2.00A. Grela1.73—Sep 24 · 08:05J. Zandecki2.38A. Abbasi1.53—Sep 24 · 09:00J. Zandecki2.38P. David1.53—Sep 24 · 10:25J. Zandecki2.00A. Grela1.73—Sep 24 · 11:15J. Zandecki1.61A. Daniel2.20—
S. Kolasa
Sep 23 · 12:05S. Kolasa1.67K. Strowski2.10—Sep 23 · 13:20S. Kolasa1.73K. Kolodziej2.00—Sep 23 · 14:35S. Kolasa2.00A. Grela1.73—Sep 24 · 03:00S. Kolasa2.00J. Zandecki1.73—Sep 24 · 04:10S. Kolasa1.83J. Kuzmicz1.83—Sep 24 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.10A. Abbasi1.67—Sep 24 · 06:55S. Kolasa1.83P. David1.83—Sep 24 · 08:30S. Kolasa2.00A. Grela1.73—Sep 24 · 09:40S. Kolasa2.00A. Grela1.73—Sep 24 · 10:50S. Kolasa1.73K. Kolodziej2.00—
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