TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Artur Grela vs Jan Zandecki 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Artur Grela
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811511117118411
Jan Zandecki
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:14 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeArtur Grela to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingArtur Grela above · Jan Zandecki below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 87 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Artur Grela at 54.5%
87 points played in total.
H2H Artur Grela 41–33 Jan Zandecki Jan Zandecki has won 33 of their 74 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 11:14What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Grela
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-33 in 74
Grela
Wrong
gap of 8 in 74, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grela 1925 vs Zandecki 1906
Grela
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grela 20% vs Zandecki 40%
Zandecki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grela 50% vs Zandecki 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Grela -2 · Zandecki -3
Zandecki
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Grela)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grela form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrela 1.73 / Zandecki 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Grela)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13177198
Grela1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 158 of 237
Up 2–0, closes it95% 59 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it76% 106 of 140
Zandecki2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 68 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back26% 20 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrela6wins
AwayZandecki4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderGrela leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrela55.6%5 of 9
AwayZandeckin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grela9Zandecki1n = 10Grela took 9 of 10
S2Grela4Zandecki6n = 10Zandecki took 6 of 10
S3Grela3Zandecki7n = 10Zandecki took 7 of 10
S4Grela5Zandecki4n = 9Grela took 5 of 9
S5Grela3Zandecki2n = 5Grela took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrelaZandeckiG − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match39.539.6−0.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrelaZandeckiBasisWin rate · lifetime625 / 1225 vs 455 / 82151%55.4%625 / 1225 vs 455 / 821Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrelaGrela 1.73/Zandecki 2.00
Miss
What we said
54.5%
Grela · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zandecki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 12:55A. Grela47115911113J. Zandecki4251111962
WSep 17 · 04:55A. Grela341111123J. Zandecki2789100
WAug 21 · 15:00A. Grela4181111113J. Zandecki30116761
LAug 21 · 08:30A. Grela27116461J. Zandecki4071111113
WAug 20 · 14:35A. Grela47111159113J. Zandecki4368111172
WAug 20 · 06:30A. Grela4311156113J. Zandecki409131171
WAug 15 · 03:25A. Grela43115115113J. Zandecki4251171182
LAug 14 · 12:05A. Grela47117101182J. Zandecki46311129113
LAug 14 · 04:10A. Grela27117631J. Zandecki4071111113
LAug 6 · 11:15A. Grela3911741162J. Zandecki46711116113
A. Grela10
WSep 23 · 06:30S. Kolasa2.25511971A. Grela1.5711011113WSep 23 · 05:40J. Kosowski1.6781111952A. Grela2.10115711113LSep 23 · 03:45A. Grela1.83126761M. Jadczyk1.83101111113LSep 18 · 15:00A. Grela2.3811712372J. Kosowski1.538111011113WSep 18 · 13:45A. Grela2.001111133D. Wederlich1.7366110LSep 18 · 12:30A. Grela1.91641181J. Zandecki1.8011118113LSep 18 · 11:15J. Kuzmicz2.757111115113A. Grela1.4011771792LSep 18 · 10:25A. Grela1.73511991J. Stecyszyn2.0011911113WSep 18 · 08:30A. Grela2.201111113J. Kosowski1.616570WSep 18 · 06:55A. Grela1.801111113M. Olejnik1.913970
J. Zandecki10
WSep 23 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.7311971162J. Zandecki2.00811117113LSep 23 · 03:25S. Kolasa1.91713118113J. Zandecki1.80111181172LSep 18 · 15:25D. Wederlich2.00491311113J. Zandecki1.73111111552LSep 18 · 14:35J. Stecyszyn3.901111113J. Zandecki1.178970WSep 18 · 12:30A. Grela1.91641181J. Zandecki1.8011118113WSep 18 · 11:40J. Kosowski1.6710111111102J. Zandecki2.10128137123WSep 18 · 10:00J. Kuzmicz2.6381231182J. Zandecki1.441110117113LSep 18 · 07:45J. Zandecki2.50118891M. Olejnik1.5081111113WSep 18 · 06:30J. Zandecki1.4071111113J. Kuzmicz2.75119941LSep 18 · 05:15J. Zandecki1.801112661D. Wederlich1.9141411113
Upcoming Matches
A. Grela
J. Zandecki
Sep 23 · 07:20J. Zandecki1.50J. Kuzmicz2.50—Sep 23 · 08:30J. Zandecki2.00J. Kosowski1.73—Sep 23 · 09:40J. Zandecki1.40K. Strowski2.75—Sep 23 · 10:50J. Zandecki1.73S. Kolasa2.00—Sep 23 · 11:40J. Zandecki2.00A. Grela1.73—Sep 23 · 12:30J. Zandecki2.00J. Kosowski1.73—Sep 23 · 14:10J. Zandecki1.53K. Kolodziej2.38—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.