TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Kosowski vs Artur Grela 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 23Finished
Jakub Kosowski
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811115117911511
Artur Grela
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:13 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeJakub Kosowski to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Kosowski above · Artur Grela below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 89 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Jakub Kosowski at 56.2%
89 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kosowski 79–55 Artur Grela Artur Grela has won 55 of their 134 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:13What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kosowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
79-55 in 134
Kosowski
Wrong
gap of 24 in 134, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosowski 1952 vs Grela 1913
Kosowski
Wrong
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosowski 80% vs Grela 20%
Kosowski
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosowski 70% vs Grela 40%
Kosowski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosowski +1 · Grela -3
Grela
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kosowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grela form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosowski 1.67 / Grela 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Kosowski)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13177203
Kosowski1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 275 of 414
Up 2–0, closes it95% 128 of 135
Up 1–0, closes it86% 216 of 252
Grela2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 105 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back32% 43 of 133
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosowski6wins
AwayGrela4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKosowski leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosowski100%3 of 3
AwayGrela57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosowski3Grela7n = 10Grela took 7 of 10
S2Kosowski5Grela5n = 10split evenly
S3Kosowski4Grela6n = 10Grela took 6 of 10
S4Kosowski5Grela2n = 7Kosowski took 5 of 7
S5Kosowski3Grela0n = 3Kosowski took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosowskiGrelaK − GBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.938.0+0.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosowskiGrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime734 / 1247 vs 624 / 122558.9%50.9%734 / 1247 vs 624 / 1225Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosowskiKosowski 1.67/Grela 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Kosowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Grela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 15:00J. Kosowski518111011113A. Grela4011712372
LSep 18 · 08:30J. Kosowski186570A. Grela331111113
WSep 17 · 12:05J. Kosowski49791111113A. Grela4511118872
LSep 17 · 03:25J. Kosowski29141050A. Grela391612113
LAug 15 · 11:40J. Kosowski368111161A. Grela4411139113
WAug 15 · 04:55J. Kosowski46111113113A. Grela34661571
LAug 6 · 12:30J. Kosowski419121191A. Grela45111013113
WAug 6 · 08:30J. Kosowski46115613113A. Grela49811111182
WAug 5 · 09:00J. Kosowski4061211113A. Grela301110721
WAug 5 · 06:30J. Kosowski331111113A. Grela216870
J. Kosowski10
WSep 23 · 04:10J. Kosowski1.73711119113S. Kolasa2.0011361132LSep 23 · 03:00J. Kosowski1.448750J. Kuzmicz2.631111113WSep 22 · 14:35J. Kosowski1.571111113D. Michna2.259860WSep 22 · 12:55J. Kosowski2.10111014123A. Wiecek1.6761212101WSep 22 · 11:40J. Kosowski1.331111113K. Kolodziej3.256390LSep 22 · 10:00J. Kosowski1.8041161172G. Felkel1.91117118113LSep 22 · 09:00J. Kosowski1.6161161192J. Braun2.20116114113WSep 22 · 08:05J. Kosowski1.5711711113G. Felkel2.25811861WSep 22 · 06:30J. Braun2.209640J. Kosowski1.611111113WSep 22 · 05:40M. Murawski1.833350J. Kosowski1.831111113
A. Grela10
WSep 23 · 06:30S. Kolasa2.25511971A. Grela1.5711011113LSep 23 · 04:55A. Grela1.7385111142J. Zandecki2.00111178113LSep 23 · 03:45A. Grela1.83126761M. Jadczyk1.83101111113LSep 18 · 15:00A. Grela2.3811712372J. Kosowski1.538111011113WSep 18 · 13:45A. Grela2.001111133D. Wederlich1.7366110LSep 18 · 12:30A. Grela1.91641181J. Zandecki1.8011118113LSep 18 · 11:15J. Kuzmicz2.757111115113A. Grela1.4011771792LSep 18 · 10:25A. Grela1.73511991J. Stecyszyn2.0011911113WSep 18 · 08:30A. Grela2.201111113J. Kosowski1.616570WSep 18 · 06:55A. Grela1.801111113M. Olejnik1.913970
Upcoming Matches
J. Kosowski
Sep 23 · 06:55J. Kosowski—M. Jadczyk——Sep 23 · 08:30J. Kosowski1.73J. Zandecki2.00—Sep 23 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.67S. Kolasa2.10—Sep 23 · 10:00J. Kosowski1.61A. Grela2.20—Sep 23 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.33K. Kolodziej3.25—Sep 23 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.73J. Zandecki2.00—Sep 23 · 13:45J. Kosowski1.30K. Strowski3.40—
A. Grela
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