TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Kosowski vs Adrian Wiecek 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Jakub Kosowski
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116101214121210––
Adrian Wiecek
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdrian Wiecek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Kosowski above · Adrian Wiecek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 87 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Adrian Wiecek at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kosowski 73–70 Adrian Wiecek Adrian Wiecek has won 70 of their 143 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:14What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Wiecek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
73-70 in 143
Kosowski
Correct
gap of 3 in 143, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosowski 1946 vs Wiecek 1923
Kosowski
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosowski 60% vs Wiecek 80%
Wiecek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosowski 80% vs Wiecek 60%
Kosowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosowski +1 · Wiecek +4
Wiecek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wiecek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wiecek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosowski 2.10 / Wiecek 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Wiecek)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13169804
Kosowski2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 31 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back24% 10 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22
Wiecek1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 175 of 270
Up 2–0, closes it94% 65 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it80% 124 of 155
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosowski5wins
AwayWiecek5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosowski100%5 of 5
AwayWiecek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosowski5Wiecek5n = 10split evenly
S2Kosowski4Wiecek6n = 10Wiecek took 6 of 10
S3Kosowski5Wiecek5n = 10split evenly
S4Kosowski3Wiecek5n = 8Wiecek took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosowskiWiecekK − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.139.4−0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosowskiWiecekBasisWin rate · lifetime733 / 1245 vs 770 / 139858.9%55.1%733 / 1245 vs 770 / 1398Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.740.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WiecekKosowski 2.10/Wiecek 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Wiecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kosowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 04:55J. Kosowski3811511113A. Wiecek29611391
WSep 8 · 09:20J. Kosowski4212611133A. Wiecek4010118111
LSep 8 · 05:40J. Kosowski397121191A. Wiecek4211146113
LAug 25 · 13:45J. Kosowski29109100A. Wiecek351211123
LAug 25 · 08:30J. Kosowski38814791A. Wiecek45111211113
WAug 24 · 14:35J. Kosowski541113711123A. Wiecek48815114102
WAug 24 · 06:30J. Kosowski351113113A. Wiecek2781180
WAug 18 · 11:15J. Kosowski511111108113A. Wiecek4899121172
LAug 18 · 04:10J. Kosowski34811781A. Wiecek4211911113
LJul 21 · 10:00J. Kosowski31681161A. Wiecek3811115113
J. Kosowski10
WSep 22 · 11:40J. Kosowski1.331111113K. Kolodziej3.256390LSep 22 · 10:00J. Kosowski1.8041161172G. Felkel1.91117118113LSep 22 · 09:00J. Kosowski1.6161161192J. Braun2.20116114113WSep 22 · 08:05J. Kosowski1.5711711113G. Felkel2.25811861WSep 22 · 06:30J. Braun2.209640J. Kosowski1.611111113WSep 22 · 05:40M. Murawski1.833350J. Kosowski1.831111113WSep 22 · 04:55J. Kosowski2.0011511113A. Wiecek1.73611391WSep 22 · 03:45J. Kosowski1.4412101211113D. Michna2.63101214882WSep 18 · 15:00A. Grela2.3811712372J. Kosowski1.538111011113WSep 18 · 14:10J. Kuzmicz2.20119101142J. Kosowski1.61711129113
A. Wiecek10
WSep 22 · 12:05A. Wiecek1.831011119113D. Michna1.8312981192WSep 22 · 10:25A. Wiecek1.5781111113J. Braun2.25116691WSep 22 · 09:40K. Kolodziej2.38101060A. Wiecek1.531212113WSep 22 · 08:30M. Murawski1.831121191A. Wiecek1.8391113113LSep 22 · 07:20A. Wiecek1.80131188132G. Felkel1.911161111153WSep 22 · 06:05D. Michna2.0091090A. Wiecek1.731112113LSep 22 · 04:55J. Kosowski2.0011511113A. Wiecek1.73611391WSep 22 · 03:25J. Braun2.38111179112A. Wiecek1.53271111133LSep 21 · 13:45A. Wiecek2.38981131M. Jadczyk1.5311119113LSep 21 · 12:30A. Wiecek1.918101171G. Felkel1.8011128113
Upcoming Matches
J. Kosowski
Sep 22 · 14:35J. Kosowski1.57D. Michna2.25—Sep 23 · 03:00J. Kosowski1.44J. Kuzmicz2.63—Sep 23 · 04:10J. Kosowski1.73S. Kolasa2.00—Sep 23 · 05:40J. Kosowski1.67A. Grela2.10—Sep 23 · 08:30J. Kosowski1.73J. Zandecki2.00—Sep 23 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.73S. Kolasa2.00—Sep 23 · 10:00J. Kosowski1.67A. Grela2.10—Sep 23 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.33K. Kolodziej3.25—Sep 23 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.73J. Zandecki2.00—Sep 23 · 13:45J. Kosowski1.30K. Strowski3.40—
A. Wiecek
Nothing scheduled
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