TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Kuzmicz vs Marcin Jadczyk 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611711115911––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:20 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeMarcin Jadczyk to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Kuzmicz above · Marcin Jadczyk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 71 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Marcin Jadczyk at 58.5%
71 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kuzmicz 9–8 Marcin Jadczyk Marcin Jadczyk has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:20What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jadczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-8 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmicz 1856 vs Jadczyk 1900
Jadczyk
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmicz 0% vs Jadczyk 40%
Jadczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmicz 40% vs Jadczyk 70%
Jadczyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmicz -5 · Jadczyk -1
Kuzmicz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jadczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadczyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmicz 2.00 / Jadczyk 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jadczyk)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13188094
Kuzmicz2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 126 of 245
Down 0–1, comes back33% 37 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 39
Jadczyk1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 23)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 402 of 635
Up 2–0, closes it96% 201 of 209
Up 1–0, closes it83% 316 of 383
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmicz5wins
AwayJadczyk5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmicz66.7%2 of 3
AwayJadczyk57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmicz3Jadczyk7n = 10Jadczyk took 7 of 10
S2Kuzmicz7Jadczyk3n = 10Kuzmicz took 7 of 10
S3Kuzmicz4Jadczyk6n = 10Jadczyk took 6 of 10
S4Kuzmicz6Jadczyk3n = 9Kuzmicz took 6 of 9
S5Kuzmicz1Jadczyk2n = 3Jadczyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmiczJadczykK − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.939.2−0.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmiczJadczykBasisWin rate · lifetime704 / 1223 vs 972 / 166857.6%58.3%704 / 1223 vs 972 / 1668Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadczykKuzmicz 2.00/Jadczyk 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Jadczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jadczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 10:25J. Kuzmicz239770M. Jadczyk331111113
WSep 21 · 04:30J. Kuzmicz4181111113M. Jadczyk33119671
WSep 16 · 10:25J. Kuzmicz44411126113M. Jadczyk46117101172
WSep 16 · 04:30J. Kuzmicz3912115113M. Jadczyk381091181
LSep 11 · 15:00J. Kuzmicz4611881272M. Jadczyk507111110113
LSep 11 · 04:30J. Kuzmicz33691171M. Jadczyk3811115113
LSep 1 · 04:30J. Kuzmicz50711911122M. Jadczyk51118117143
WAug 24 · 06:55J. Kuzmicz3611113113M. Jadczyk34691181
WAug 16 · 04:30J. Kuzmicz4181111113M. Jadczyk29114771
LAug 10 · 06:05J. Kuzmicz361111591M. Jadczyk4013511113
J. Kuzmicz10
LSep 25 · 05:40K. Wloczko2.00118127113J. Kuzmicz1.73611101172WSep 25 · 04:55J. Kuzmicz2.75412811113P. David1.40111011962LSep 24 · 07:45J. Kuzmicz4.0091171142P. David1.22119118113LSep 24 · 06:30J. Kuzmicz2.25611761A. Abbasi1.5711811113LSep 24 · 05:15J. Kuzmicz2.38112941J. Zandecki1.5361111113LSep 24 · 04:10S. Kolasa1.8311911113J. Kuzmicz1.83611691LSep 24 · 03:25J. Kuzmicz2.6391191182A. Grela1.44116119113WSep 23 · 08:05A. Grela1.4057111192J. Kuzmicz2.75111187113LSep 23 · 07:20J. Zandecki1.6191111113J. Kuzmicz2.20116891WSep 23 · 05:15S. Kolasa1.83811991J. Kuzmicz1.8311711113
M. Jadczyk10
WSep 25 · 06:05M. Jadczyk2.101513123P. David1.671311100WSep 25 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.801111113A. Abbasi1.917660LSep 23 · 07:45S. Kolasa2.20981111113M. Jadczyk1.6111117792WSep 23 · 06:55J. Kosowski1.7513681182M. Jadczyk1.951111118113LSep 23 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.7311971162J. Zandecki2.00811117113LSep 23 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.83118891J. Kuzmicz1.8391111113WSep 23 · 03:45A. Grela1.83126761M. Jadczyk1.83101111113WSep 21 · 13:45A. Wiecek2.38981131M. Jadczyk1.5311119113WSep 21 · 12:55M. Murawski2.2012111031M. Jadczyk1.61101312113WSep 21 · 12:05M. Jadczyk1.6712914113D. Michna2.1010111271
Upcoming Matches
J. Kuzmicz
M. Jadczyk
Sep 25 · 06:55M. Jadczyk1.53K. Wloczko2.38—Sep 25 · 07:45M. Jadczyk1.57M. Miastowski2.25—Sep 25 · 10:50M. Jadczyk2.10P. David1.67—Sep 25 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.44K. Kolodziej2.63—Sep 25 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.83J. Kuzmicz1.83—Sep 25 · 14:10M. Jadczyk1.57M. Miastowski2.25—Sep 25 · 15:00M. Jadczyk1.53K. Wloczko2.38—
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