TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Marcin Jadczyk vs Petr David 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
151313111210––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:42 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timePetr David to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarcin Jadczyk above · Petr David below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 74 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Petr David at 57.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Marcin Jadczyk 43–43 Petr David Dead even across their 86 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:42What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
David
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-43 in 86
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadczyk 1943 vs David 1951
David
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadczyk 60% vs David 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadczyk 70% vs David 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadczyk +2 · David -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans David)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadczyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadczyk 2.10 / David 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (David)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13188859
Jadczyk2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 109 of 241
Down 0–1, comes back28% 30 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 50
David1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 228 of 340
Up 2–0, closes it97% 115 of 119
Up 1–0, closes it83% 170 of 205
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadczyk5wins
AwayDavid5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadczyk66.7%4 of 6
AwayDavid75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadczyk6David4n = 10Jadczyk took 6 of 10
S2Jadczyk6David4n = 10Jadczyk took 6 of 10
S3Jadczyk5David5n = 10split evenly
S4Jadczyk3David4n = 7David took 4 of 7
S5Jadczyk1David2n = 3David took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadczykDavidJ − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.039.3−0.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadczykDavidBasisWin rate · lifetime975 / 1672 vs 643 / 97458.3%66%975 / 1672 vs 643 / 974Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match39.040.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DavidJadczyk 2.10/David 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
David · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jadczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 06:05M. Jadczyk401513123P. David341311100
WSep 17 · 06:55M. Jadczyk47114163133P. David558111411112
LSep 16 · 09:40M. Jadczyk4712871192P. David501011117113
WSep 16 · 06:05M. Jadczyk391711113P. David3015870
WSep 7 · 03:45M. Jadczyk4291111113P. David31117851
LSep 3 · 06:55M. Jadczyk348111051P. David4211812113
LSep 2 · 12:55M. Jadczyk4211611862P. David44711411113
LSep 2 · 07:45M. Jadczyk196940P. David331111113
LAug 28 · 15:00M. Jadczyk399118111P. David4311811133
WAug 28 · 06:55M. Jadczyk4111118113P. David31561191
M. Jadczyk10
LSep 25 · 06:55K. Wloczko2.381111113M. Jadczyk1.538630WSep 25 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.801111113A. Abbasi1.917660WSep 25 · 03:45J. Kuzmicz2.00671191M. Jadczyk1.7311115113LSep 23 · 07:45S. Kolasa2.20981111113M. Jadczyk1.6111117792WSep 23 · 06:55J. Kosowski1.7513681182M. Jadczyk1.951111118113LSep 23 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.7311971162J. Zandecki2.00811117113LSep 23 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.83118891J. Kuzmicz1.8391111113WSep 23 · 03:45A. Grela1.83126761M. Jadczyk1.83101111113WSep 21 · 13:45A. Wiecek2.38981131M. Jadczyk1.5311119113WSep 21 · 12:55M. Murawski2.2012111031M. Jadczyk1.61101312113
P. David10
LSep 25 · 04:55J. Kuzmicz2.75412811113P. David1.40111011962WSep 25 · 03:25M. Miastowski2.6381170P. David1.441113113WSep 24 · 14:35P. David1.308111011113K. Kolodziej3.4011412782WSep 24 · 12:55P. David1.61101111123A. Grela2.201239101LSep 24 · 11:40P. David1.53881191S. Kolasa2.3811115113WSep 24 · 10:00P. David1.3011159113A. Daniel3.409131181LSep 24 · 09:00P. David1.671151161J. Zandecki2.1081113113WSep 24 · 07:45J. Kuzmicz4.0091171142P. David1.22119118113LSep 24 · 06:55S. Kolasa1.9115611113P. David1.801311981WSep 24 · 06:05P. David1.61115711113A. Grela2.2091111572
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