TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Petr David vs Artur Grela 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Petr David
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
10121131191210––
Artur Grela
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:41 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timePetr David to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr David above · Artur Grela below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 78 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Petr David at 59.3%
78 points played in total.
H2H Petr David 66–35 Artur Grela Artur Grela has won 35 of their 101 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:41What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
David
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
66-35 in 101
David
Correct
gap of 31 in 101, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
David 1973 vs Grela 1940
David
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
David 40% vs Grela 80%
Grela
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
David 60% vs Grela 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
David -1 · Grela +4
Grela
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans David)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grela form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDavid 1.61 / Grela 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (David)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13183304
David1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 221 of 330
Up 2–0, closes it97% 113 of 117
Up 1–0, closes it83% 165 of 199
Grela2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 106 of 230
Down 0–1, comes back32% 43 of 133
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDavid7wins
AwayGrela3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDavid leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDavid83.3%5 of 6
AwayGrela50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1David6Grela4n = 10David took 6 of 10
S2David5Grela5n = 10split evenly
S3David6Grela4n = 10David took 6 of 10
S4David5Grela3n = 8David took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDavidGrelaD − GBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.934.9+5.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDavidGrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime643 / 974 vs 627 / 122366%51.3%643 / 974 vs 627 / 1223Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DavidDavid 1.61/Grela 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
David · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
David won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 06:05P. David45115711113A. Grela4391111572
WSep 17 · 13:45P. David5410111111113A. Grela4112137542
WSep 17 · 08:30P. David331111113A. Grela194780
WAug 27 · 10:00P. David4011117113A. Grela31851171
LAug 27 · 05:40P. David4011101181A. Grela4313127113
LAug 5 · 10:00P. David32118671A. Grela4071111113
WAug 5 · 05:40P. David43101111113A. Grela31124781
LAug 1 · 09:00P. David33941191A. Grela4211119113
WAug 1 · 08:05P. David4613138123A. Grela43111111101
WJun 5 · 15:10P. David331111113A. Grela163940
P. David10
LSep 24 · 11:40P. David1.53881191S. Kolasa2.3811115113WSep 24 · 10:00P. David1.3011159113A. Daniel3.409131181LSep 24 · 09:00P. David1.671151161J. Zandecki2.1081113113WSep 24 · 07:45J. Kuzmicz4.0091171142P. David1.22119118113LSep 24 · 06:55S. Kolasa1.9115611113P. David1.801311981WSep 24 · 06:05P. David1.61115711113A. Grela2.2091111572WSep 24 · 04:30P. David1.5311511113J. Zandecki2.38911681WSep 24 · 03:45A. Abbasi2.0041111672P. David1.73118611113WSep 17 · 13:45P. David2.2010111111113A. Grela1.6112137542WSep 17 · 12:30P. David1.2511118113K. Wloczko3.75931191
A. Grela10
WSep 24 · 13:45A. Daniel2.38251111122A. Grela1.53111177143WSep 24 · 12:05A. Grela1.4411118113K. Kolodziej2.63991151WSep 24 · 10:25A. Grela1.611111113J. Zandecki2.209650WSep 24 · 09:40S. Kolasa2.00781381A. Grela1.73111111113WSep 24 · 08:30S. Kolasa2.0031111762A. Grela1.73117811113LSep 24 · 07:20A. Grela1.679990J. Zandecki2.101111113LSep 24 · 06:05P. David1.61115711113A. Grela2.2091111572LSep 24 · 04:55A. Abbasi1.801113113A. Grela1.9181180WSep 24 · 03:25J. Kuzmicz2.6391191182A. Grela1.44116119113LSep 17 · 13:45P. David2.2010111111113A. Grela1.6112137542
Upcoming Matches
P. David
Sep 24 · 14:35P. David1.30K. Kolodziej3.40—Sep 25 · 03:25P. David1.44M. Miastowski2.63—Sep 25 · 04:55P. David1.40J. Kuzmicz2.75—Sep 25 · 06:05P. David1.67M. Jadczyk2.10—Sep 25 · 07:20P. David1.73A. Abbasi2.00—Sep 25 · 08:30P. David1.28K. Wloczko3.50—Sep 25 · 10:50P. David1.67M. Jadczyk2.10—Sep 25 · 12:05P. David1.40J. Kuzmicz2.75—Sep 25 · 12:55P. David1.44M. Miastowski2.63—Sep 25 · 13:45P. David1.28K. Wloczko3.50—
A. Grela
Nothing scheduled
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