TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Petr David vs Szymon Kolasa 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Petr David
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811811115911––
Szymon Kolasa
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr David to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr David above · Szymon Kolasa below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Petr David at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Petr David 13–15 Szymon Kolasa Petr David has won 13 of their 28 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Kolasa beat David 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:41What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
David
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-15 in 28
Kolasa
Correct
gap of 2 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
David 1990 vs Kolasa 1839
David
Wrong
both rated, 151 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
David 60% vs Kolasa 40%
David
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
David 70% vs Kolasa 30%
David
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
David +1 · Kolasa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans David) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDavid 1.53 / Kolasa 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (David)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13183278
David1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 221 of 330
Up 2–0, closes it97% 113 of 117
Up 1–0, closes it83% 165 of 199
Kolasa2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 57 of 142
Down 0–1, comes back32% 29 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back13% 5 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDavid7wins
AwayKolasa3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDavid leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDavid75%6 of 8
AwayKolasan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1David8Kolasa2n = 10David took 8 of 10
S2David4Kolasa6n = 10Kolasa took 6 of 10
S3David6Kolasa4n = 10David took 6 of 10
S4David6Kolasa4n = 10David took 6 of 10
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDavidKolasaD − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match43.738.5+5.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDavidKolasaBasisWin rate · lifetime645 / 975 vs 264 / 48966.2%54%645 / 975 vs 264 / 489Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DavidDavid 1.53/Kolasa 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64%
David · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kolasa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 06:55P. David411311981S. Kolasa4315611113
WSep 7 · 10:00P. David53141711113S. Kolasa401219361
WSep 7 · 05:40P. David44111111113S. Kolasa35613791
WAug 27 · 12:55P. David46141011113S. Kolasa401212881
WAug 27 · 04:55P. David3961111113S. Kolasa26118431
WAug 4 · 14:10P. David4011711113S. Kolasa26711621
LAug 4 · 05:15P. David4511912762S. Kolasa507111011113
LApr 10 · 04:05P. David341112381S. Kolasa4371411113
WApr 9 · 15:35P. David4211128113S. Kolasa377101191
WApr 9 · 07:40P. David531111911113S. Kolasa4575111392
P. David10
WSep 24 · 12:55P. David1.61101111123A. Grela2.201239101WSep 24 · 10:00P. David1.3011159113A. Daniel3.409131181LSep 24 · 09:00P. David1.671151161J. Zandecki2.1081113113WSep 24 · 07:45J. Kuzmicz4.0091171142P. David1.22119118113LSep 24 · 06:55S. Kolasa1.9115611113P. David1.801311981WSep 24 · 06:05P. David1.61115711113A. Grela2.2091111572WSep 24 · 04:30P. David1.5311511113J. Zandecki2.38911681WSep 24 · 03:45A. Abbasi2.0041111672P. David1.73118611113WSep 17 · 13:45P. David2.2010111111113A. Grela1.6112137542WSep 17 · 12:30P. David1.2511118113K. Wloczko3.75931191
S. Kolasa10
LSep 24 · 12:30A. Daniel2.25891211113S. Kolasa1.57111110782WSep 24 · 10:50S. Kolasa1.6711117123K. Kolodziej2.105911101LSep 24 · 09:40S. Kolasa2.00781381A. Grela1.73111111113LSep 24 · 08:30S. Kolasa2.0031111762A. Grela1.73117811113WSep 24 · 06:55S. Kolasa1.9115611113P. David1.801311981LSep 24 · 05:40S. Kolasa1.91911911102A. Abbasi1.80119118123WSep 24 · 04:10S. Kolasa1.8311911113J. Kuzmicz1.83611691LSep 24 · 03:00S. Kolasa2.25119481J. Zandecki1.5781111113LSep 23 · 14:35A. Grela1.73412115133S. Kolasa2.001110411112LSep 23 · 13:20S. Kolasa1.7351111632K. Kolodziej2.00115911113
Upcoming Matches
P. David
Sep 24 · 14:35P. David1.30K. Kolodziej3.40—Sep 25 · 03:25P. David1.44M. Miastowski2.63—Sep 25 · 04:55P. David1.40J. Kuzmicz2.75—Sep 25 · 06:05P. David1.67M. Jadczyk2.10—Sep 25 · 07:20P. David1.73A. Abbasi2.00—Sep 25 · 08:30P. David1.28K. Wloczko3.50—Sep 25 · 10:50P. David1.67M. Jadczyk2.10—Sep 25 · 12:05P. David1.40J. Kuzmicz2.75—Sep 25 · 12:55P. David1.44M. Miastowski2.63—Sep 25 · 13:45P. David1.28K. Wloczko3.50—
S. Kolasa
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