TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Artur Grela vs Jan Zandecki 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Artur Grela
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116115––––
Jan Zandecki
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:42 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeArtur Grela to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtur Grela above · Jan Zandecki below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 53 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Artur Grela at 54.1%
53 points played in total.
H2H Artur Grela 43–37 Jan Zandecki Jan Zandecki has won 37 of their 80 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Zandecki beat Grela 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:42What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Grela
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-37 in 80
Grela
Correct
gap of 6 in 80, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grela 1932 vs Zandecki 1958
Zandecki
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grela 40% vs Zandecki 60%
Zandecki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grela 50% vs Zandecki 70%
Zandecki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Grela +2 · Zandecki +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Grela) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zandecki form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrela 1.61 / Zandecki 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Grela)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13183315
Grela1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 163 of 245
Up 2–0, closes it95% 61 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it76% 110 of 145
Zandecki2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 71 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back28% 22 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrela5wins
AwayZandecki5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrela60%3 of 5
AwayZandecki60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grela5Zandecki5n = 10split evenly
S2Grela4Zandecki6n = 10Zandecki took 6 of 10
S3Grela6Zandecki4n = 10Grela took 6 of 10
S4Grela4Zandecki3n = 7Grela took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrelaZandeckiG − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.635.1−0.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrelaZandeckiBasisWin rate · lifetime626 / 1224 vs 467 / 83851.1%55.7%626 / 1224 vs 467 / 838Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrelaGrela 1.61/Zandecki 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Grela · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Grela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 10:25A. Grela331111113J. Zandecki209650
LSep 24 · 07:20A. Grela279990J. Zandecki331111113
LSep 23 · 11:40A. Grela29124491J. Zandecki43101111113
LSep 23 · 04:55A. Grela3985111142J. Zandecki48111178113
LSep 18 · 12:30A. Grela29641181J. Zandecki4111118113
WSep 18 · 04:10A. Grela4071111113J. Zandecki27117361
WSep 17 · 12:55A. Grela47115911113J. Zandecki4251111962
WSep 17 · 04:55A. Grela341111123J. Zandecki2789100
WAug 21 · 15:00A. Grela4181111113J. Zandecki30116761
LAug 21 · 08:30A. Grela27116461J. Zandecki4071111113
A. Grela10
WSep 24 · 09:40S. Kolasa2.00781381A. Grela1.73111111113WSep 24 · 08:30S. Kolasa2.0031111762A. Grela1.73117811113LSep 24 · 07:20A. Grela1.679990J. Zandecki2.101111113LSep 24 · 06:05P. David1.61115711113A. Grela2.2091111572LSep 24 · 04:55A. Abbasi1.801113113A. Grela1.9181180WSep 24 · 03:25J. Kuzmicz2.6391191182A. Grela1.44116119113WSep 23 · 14:35A. Grela1.73412115133S. Kolasa2.001110411112WSep 23 · 12:55A. Grela1.4015149113K. Strowski2.7513121121LSep 23 · 11:40A. Grela1.73124491J. Zandecki2.00101111113LSep 23 · 10:00A. Grela2.201151111122J. Kosowski1.61811139143
J. Zandecki10
WSep 24 · 11:15A. Daniel2.384111051J. Zandecki1.5311512113WSep 24 · 09:00P. David1.671151161J. Zandecki2.1081113113LSep 24 · 08:05A. Abbasi1.531211113J. Zandecki2.3810680WSep 24 · 07:20A. Grela1.679990J. Zandecki2.101111113WSep 24 · 05:15J. Kuzmicz2.38112941J. Zandecki1.5361111113LSep 24 · 04:30P. David1.5311511113J. Zandecki2.38911681WSep 24 · 03:00S. Kolasa2.25119481J. Zandecki1.5781111113WSep 23 · 14:10J. Zandecki1.53118119113K. Kolodziej2.3841171132WSep 23 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.836101151J. Zandecki1.8311123113WSep 23 · 11:40A. Grela1.73124491J. Zandecki2.00101111113
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