TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Maksymilian Miastowski vs Grzegorz Adamiak · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Starts Sep 27, 04:55Scheduled
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Head to head
9 – 7
All 16 meetings · 56.3%
Last 10 · 6–4Same side
5–5Last 10Won last 1
They have already met 2 times today · last one 15h before this match
Adamiak beat Miastowski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiastowski 1.67 / Adamiak 2.10
TT Elite Series · #13200371
Miastowski1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 108 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it94% 47 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it78% 76 of 97
Adamiak2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog28% won 62 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back15% 22 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMiastowski6wins
AwayAdamiak4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMiastowski leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMiastowski71.4%5 of 7
AwayAdamiak66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miastowski7Adamiak3n = 10Miastowski took 7 of 10
S2Miastowski6Adamiak4n = 10Miastowski took 6 of 10
S3Miastowski7Adamiak3n = 10Miastowski took 7 of 10
S4Miastowski2Adamiak4n = 6Adamiak took 4 of 6
S5Miastowski2Adamiak3n = 5Adamiak took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMiastowskiAdamiakM − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.035.8+3.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiastowskiAdamiakBasisWin rate · lifetime576 / 1114 vs 323 / 74651.7%43.3%576 / 1114 vs 323 / 746Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.436.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 26 · 13:45M. Miastowski45119111042G. Adamiak46711512113
LSep 26 · 08:30M. Miastowski3961111742G. Adamiak40113411113
WMay 2 · 15:10M. Miastowski331111113G. Adamiak247980
LSep 21 · 12:25M. Miastowski2671090G. Adamiak341112113
WSep 21 · 06:40M. Miastowski4312711133G. Adamiak4010118111
WSep 20 · 13:15M. Miastowski331111113G. Adamiak224990
WSep 20 · 07:15M. Miastowski461111112113G. Adamiak46117131052
WSep 7 · 14:30M. Miastowski331111113G. Adamiak227690
LSep 7 · 07:30M. Miastowski4011311962G. Adamiak43711311113
WSep 7 · 05:00M. Miastowski52111299113G. Adamiak41510111142
M. Miastowski10
LSep 26 · 13:45G. Adamiak2.25711512113M. Miastowski1.57119111042LSep 26 · 12:55T. Spanik1.6781411113M. Miastowski2.101112691WSep 26 · 12:05M. Miastowski2.20971111113K. Kolodziej1.6111116572LSep 26 · 10:25M. Miastowski1.836111051K. Petas1.8311712113LSep 26 · 09:40A. Abbasi1.53911118133M. Miastowski2.38116611112LSep 26 · 08:30G. Adamiak2.10113411113M. Miastowski1.6761111742LSep 26 · 07:20M. Miastowski2.10871551K. Petas1.67111113113WSep 26 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.441111514122M. Miastowski2.63771116143LSep 26 · 04:55T. Spanik1.57111113113M. Miastowski2.25871571LSep 26 · 03:25J. Folwarski1.28111210113M. Miastowski3.509101271
G. Adamiak10
WSep 26 · 13:45G. Adamiak2.25711512113M. Miastowski1.57119111042LSep 26 · 12:30G. Adamiak2.6341191192A. Abbasi1.44119119113LSep 26 · 11:15G. Adamiak3.7551191182K. Petas1.25116119113WSep 26 · 10:00T. Spanik1.5711119562G. Adamiak2.25561111113WSep 26 · 09:20G. Adamiak1.9111116113K. Kolodziej1.80671161WSep 26 · 08:30G. Adamiak2.10113411113M. Miastowski1.6761111742WSep 26 · 06:55G. Adamiak2.751191113113M. Jadczyk1.4071171592LSep 26 · 05:40G. Adamiak2.50891191T. Spanik1.5011119113LSep 26 · 04:10G. Adamiak3.75710120J. Folwarski1.251112143LSep 26 · 03:00G. Adamiak3.7546140K. Petas1.251111163
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