TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kacper Petas vs Krystian Kolodziej 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711119811911––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKacper Petas to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKacper Petas above · Krystian Kolodziej below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 77 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Kacper Petas at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Kacper Petas 8–10 Krystian Kolodziej Kacper Petas has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:09What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Petas
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-10 in 18
Kolodziej
Correct
gap of 2 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Petas 1935 vs Kolodziej 1810
Petas
Wrong
both rated, 126 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Petas 60% vs Kolodziej 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Petas 80% vs Kolodziej 30%
Petas
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Petas +1 · Kolodziej -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Petas) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPetas 1.80 / Kolodziej 1.91
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Petas)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13200571
Petas1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 172 of 266
Up 2–0, closes it95% 96 of 101
Up 1–0, closes it76% 133 of 175
Kolodziej1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 66 of 207
Down 0–1, comes back14% 16 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePetas6wins
AwayKolodziej4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPetas leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePetas100%4 of 4
AwayKolodziej66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Petas4Kolodziej6n = 10Kolodziej took 6 of 10
S2Petas7Kolodziej3n = 10Petas took 7 of 10
S3Petas5Kolodziej5n = 10split evenly
S4Petas5Kolodziej2n = 7Petas took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPetasKolodziejP − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.833.0+5.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPetasKolodziejBasisWin rate · lifetime683 / 1292 vs 1269 / 189352.9%67%683 / 1292 vs 1269 / 1893Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PetasPetas 1.80/Kolodziej 1.91
Miss
What we said
55.1%
Petas · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kolodziej won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 10:00K. Petas35711891K. Kolodziej4211911113
LSep 27 · 04:10K. Petas2111820K. Kolodziej351311113
WSep 26 · 13:20K. Petas351113113K. Kolodziej2581160
WSep 1 · 09:40K. Petas45131110113K. Kolodziej351151271
WAug 16 · 11:15K. Petas4211119113K. Kolodziej25341171
LJul 29 · 14:10K. Petas4277111162K. Kolodziej44111174113
WJul 12 · 12:30K. Petas4071111113K. Kolodziej22112631
LJun 29 · 12:30K. Petas4312711131K. Kolodziej4614116153
WJun 27 · 12:30K. Petas521211711113K. Kolodziej4114611822
WDec 15 · 16:55K. Petas331111113K. Kolodziej152580
K. Petas10
WSep 27 · 09:00K. Petas2.001112113T. Spanik1.7371040LSep 27 · 07:45K. Petas2.107570M. Jadczyk1.671111113WSep 27 · 06:30K. Petas1.831111123M. Miastowski1.8376100WSep 27 · 05:15K. Petas1.8361211113T. Spanik1.831110831LSep 27 · 04:10K. Kolodziej1.831311113K. Petas1.8311820WSep 27 · 03:25K. Petas1.251111113G. Adamiak3.755320WSep 26 · 14:10A. Abbasi2.001191051K. Petas1.7391112113WSep 26 · 13:20K. Kolodziej1.8081160K. Petas1.911113113WSep 26 · 11:15G. Adamiak3.7551191182K. Petas1.25116119113WSep 26 · 10:25M. Miastowski1.836111051K. Petas1.8311712113
K. Kolodziej10
LSep 27 · 09:20K. Kolodziej1.8391390M. Miastowski1.831115113LSep 27 · 08:30K. Kolodziej1.73911911112G. Adamiak2.00113114133WSep 27 · 06:55K. Kolodziej2.501211710113M. Jadczyk1.50101111282WSep 27 · 05:40K. Kolodziej1.67111112113M. Miastowski2.10971491WSep 27 · 04:10K. Kolodziej1.831311113K. Petas1.8311820LSep 27 · 03:00K. Kolodziej2.251511951T. Spanik1.5717311113LSep 26 · 14:35T. Spanik1.611111113K. Kolodziej2.208960LSep 26 · 13:20K. Kolodziej1.8081160K. Petas1.911113113LSep 26 · 12:05M. Miastowski2.20971111113K. Kolodziej1.6111116572LSep 26 · 10:50A. Abbasi1.671111123K. Kolodziej2.1077100
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.