TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Krystian Kolodziej vs Grzegorz Adamiak 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111139111141113
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKrystian Kolodziej to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKrystian Kolodziej above · Grzegorz Adamiak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 93 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Krystian Kolodziej at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Krystian Kolodziej 6–4 Grzegorz Adamiak Grzegorz Adamiak has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:46What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kolodziej
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Kolodziej
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolodziej 1794 vs Adamiak 1767
Kolodziej
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolodziej 60% vs Adamiak 20%
Kolodziej
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolodziej 40% vs Adamiak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolodziej +3 · Adamiak -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolodziej)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamiak form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolodziej 1.73 / Adamiak 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kolodziej)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13200189
Kolodziej1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite76% won 440 of 581
Up 2–0, closes it97% 278 of 286
Up 1–0, closes it87% 364 of 418
Adamiak2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog29% won 67 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back16% 24 of 152
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolodziej6wins
AwayAdamiak4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKolodziej leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolodziej85.7%6 of 7
AwayAdamiak100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolodziej7Adamiak3n = 10Kolodziej took 7 of 10
S2Kolodziej6Adamiak4n = 10Kolodziej took 6 of 10
S3Kolodziej7Adamiak3n = 10Kolodziej took 7 of 10
S4Kolodziej3Adamiak3n = 6split evenly
S5Kolodziej2Adamiak3n = 5Adamiak took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolodziejAdamiakK − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.634.3+5.3per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolodziejAdamiakBasisWin rate · lifetime1268 / 1891 vs 325 / 75267.1%43.2%1268 / 1891 vs 325 / 752Avg sets wonper match2.41.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.435.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolodziejKolodziej 1.73/Adamiak 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Kolodziej · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Adamiak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 08:30K. Kolodziej51911911112G. Adamiak42113114133
LSep 26 · 09:20K. Kolodziej30671161G. Adamiak3911116113
WJul 29 · 13:20K. Kolodziej331111113G. Adamiak189630
WJul 23 · 17:20K. Kolodziej341211113G. Adamiak2110470
WJul 23 · 14:10K. Kolodziej341211113G. Adamiak2410860
WJul 17 · 10:50K. Kolodziej46114911113G. Adamiak3821111772
LNov 2 · 15:05K. Kolodziej49108111192G. Adamiak52121199113
LAug 12 · 19:25K. Kolodziej4111115772G. Adamiak38141111113
WJun 12 · 15:30K. Kolodziej341211113G. Adamiak2610880
WJan 6 · 14:40K. Kolodziej44115116113G. Adamiak4561181192
K. Kolodziej10
LSep 27 · 09:20K. Kolodziej1.8391390M. Miastowski1.831115113WSep 27 · 06:55K. Kolodziej2.501211710113M. Jadczyk1.50101111282WSep 27 · 05:40K. Kolodziej1.67111112113M. Miastowski2.10971491WSep 27 · 04:10K. Kolodziej1.831311113K. Petas1.8311820LSep 27 · 03:00K. Kolodziej2.251511951T. Spanik1.5717311113LSep 26 · 14:35T. Spanik1.611111113K. Kolodziej2.208960LSep 26 · 13:20K. Kolodziej1.8081160K. Petas1.911113113LSep 26 · 12:05M. Miastowski2.20971111113K. Kolodziej1.6111116572LSep 26 · 10:50A. Abbasi1.671111123K. Kolodziej2.1077100LSep 26 · 09:20G. Adamiak1.9111116113K. Kolodziej1.80671161
G. Adamiak10
LSep 27 · 09:40G. Adamiak2.759360M. Jadczyk1.401111113LSep 27 · 07:20G. Adamiak2.38911391T. Spanik1.5311911113LSep 27 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.3611115113G. Adamiak3.00891181LSep 27 · 04:55M. Miastowski1.531111133G. Adamiak2.3884110LSep 27 · 03:25K. Petas1.251111113G. Adamiak3.755320WSep 26 · 13:45G. Adamiak2.25711512113M. Miastowski1.57119111042LSep 26 · 12:30G. Adamiak2.6341191192A. Abbasi1.44119119113LSep 26 · 11:15G. Adamiak3.7551191182K. Petas1.25116119113WSep 26 · 10:00T. Spanik1.5711119562G. Adamiak2.25561111113WSep 26 · 09:20G. Adamiak1.9111116113K. Kolodziej1.80671161
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