TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Piotr Chodorski vs Grzegorz Felkel 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 28Finished
Piotr Chodorski
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191171113711911
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:51 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Felkel to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Chodorski above · Grzegorz Felkel below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 100 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Grzegorz Felkel at 60.1%
100 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Chodorski 9–18 Grzegorz Felkel Piotr Chodorski has won 9 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:51What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Felkel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-18 in 27
Felkel
Correct
gap of 9 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chodorski 1713 vs Felkel 1955
Felkel
Correct
both rated, 242 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chodorski 60% vs Felkel 80%
Felkel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chodorski 40% vs Felkel 70%
Felkel
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chodorski -2 · Felkel +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Felkel) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Felkel form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChodorski 2.25 / Felkel 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Felkel)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13206394
Chodorski2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Felkel1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 214 of 346
Up 2–0, closes it93% 119 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it79% 158 of 201
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChodorski4wins
AwayFelkel6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderFelkel leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChodorski100%3 of 3
AwayFelkel85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chodorski3Felkel7n = 10Felkel took 7 of 10
S2Chodorski4Felkel6n = 10Felkel took 6 of 10
S3Chodorski6Felkel4n = 10Chodorski took 6 of 10
S4Chodorski1Felkel6n = 7Felkel took 6 of 7
S5Chodorski3Felkel1n = 4Chodorski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricChodorskiFelkelC − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.739.7−3.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChodorskiFelkelBasisWin rate · lifetime402 / 816 vs 674 / 114149.3%59.1%402 / 816 vs 674 / 1141Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FelkelChodorski 2.25/Felkel 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Felkel · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Felkel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMar 24 · 14:40P. Chodorski541113127113G. Felkel49715101162
WMar 24 · 05:00P. Chodorski507111110113G. Felkel4011781222
LFeb 24 · 14:40P. Chodorski351111671G. Felkel4413911113
WFeb 24 · 05:00P. Chodorski49119117113G. Felkel4781181192
WFeb 22 · 11:00P. Chodorski331111113G. Felkel217950
LFeb 22 · 10:10P. Chodorski226880G. Felkel331111113
LJan 19 · 11:25P. Chodorski25281141G. Felkel3611113113
LDec 24 · 04:20P. Chodorski236980G. Felkel331111113
LNov 27 · 08:40P. Chodorski49961111122G. Felkel51111169143
LNov 26 · 15:05P. Chodorski27612631G. Felkel43111011113
P. Chodorski10
WSep 28 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.671156111P. Chodorski2.1081111133WSep 28 · 05:40K. Petas2.006690P. Chodorski1.731111113LSep 28 · 03:45P. Chodorski1.91101181472M. Jadczyk1.801251112113LSep 2 · 16:40P. Chodorski1.4484111152R. Formela2.6311116363WAug 30 · 17:30P. Chodorski—71111113F. Wetzel—114371WAug 29 · 17:00A. Stalzer—5990P. Chodorski—1111113WAug 28 · 17:39J. Cavaille1.6131181142P. Chodorski2.2011511363LApr 12 · 12:33P. Chodorski2.2510118131M. Zalewski1.5712211153LApr 1 · 11:35P. Chodorski1.7300J. Braun2.0050LApr 1 · 10:45A. Wiecek1.611111113P. Chodorski2.207760
G. Felkel10
WSep 28 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.91112571G. Felkel1.8021111113WSep 28 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.6710930G. Felkel2.101211113LSep 22 · 13:45G. Felkel1.91117871A. Wiecek1.8091111113WSep 22 · 12:30G. Felkel1.531111113K. Kolodziej2.389990WSep 22 · 11:15G. Felkel1.361114113J. Braun3.0091260WSep 22 · 10:00J. Kosowski1.8041161172G. Felkel1.91117118113WSep 22 · 09:20G. Felkel2.00118911113D. Michna1.7381111792LSep 22 · 08:05J. Kosowski1.5711711113G. Felkel2.25811861WSep 22 · 07:20A. Wiecek1.80131188132G. Felkel1.911161111153LSep 22 · 05:15J. Braun2.7591112113G. Felkel1.401171081
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