TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Kosowski vs Piotr Chodorski 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1185116111113––
Piotr Chodorski
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:23 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeJakub Kosowski to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Kosowski above · Piotr Chodorski below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 76 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Jakub Kosowski at 56.6%
76 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kosowski 28–20 Piotr Chodorski Piotr Chodorski has won 20 of their 48 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:23What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kosowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-20 in 48
Kosowski
Wrong
gap of 8 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosowski 1929 vs Chodorski 1773
Kosowski
Wrong
both rated, 156 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosowski 60% vs Chodorski 40%
Kosowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosowski 70% vs Chodorski 40%
Kosowski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosowski +2 · Chodorski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kosowski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosowski 1.67 / Chodorski 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kosowski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13206599
Kosowski1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 281 of 423
Up 2–0, closes it95% 130 of 137
Up 1–0, closes it86% 219 of 256
Chodorski2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosowski7wins
AwayChodorski3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKosowski leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosowski85.7%6 of 7
AwayChodorski66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosowski7Chodorski3n = 10Kosowski took 7 of 10
S2Kosowski6Chodorski4n = 10Kosowski took 6 of 10
S3Kosowski7Chodorski3n = 10Kosowski took 7 of 10
S4Kosowski3Chodorski4n = 7Chodorski took 4 of 7
S5Kosowski2Chodorski1n = 3Kosowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosowskiChodorskiK − CBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.334.3+5.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosowskiChodorskiBasisWin rate · lifetime724 / 1231 vs 402 / 81658.8%49.3%724 / 1231 vs 402 / 816Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosowskiKosowski 1.67/Chodorski 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Kosowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chodorski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 28 · 06:30J. Kosowski331156111P. Chodorski4381111133
LMar 24 · 11:25J. Kosowski4076111152P. Chodorski48111187113
WMar 24 · 09:00J. Kosowski331111113P. Chodorski214980
WFeb 24 · 13:25J. Kosowski5511111210113P. Chodorski49513101292
WFeb 24 · 06:05J. Kosowski4151411113P. Chodorski351112481
WFeb 23 · 16:35J. Kosowski341211113P. Chodorski2410680
WFeb 23 · 08:40J. Kosowski3911116113P. Chodorski26661131
WFeb 11 · 13:50J. Kosowski341112113P. Chodorski2071030
WFeb 11 · 10:10J. Kosowski50111189113P. Chodorski3926111192
LJan 20 · 12:10J. Kosowski34891161P. Chodorski3811115113
J. Kosowski10
WSep 28 · 05:15J. Kosowski1.571112113T. Spanik2.2591040WSep 28 · 04:10K. Petas2.25991181J. Kosowski1.5711116113LSep 28 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.6710930G. Felkel2.101211113WSep 23 · 13:45J. Kosowski1.307111110113K. Strowski3.4011371262LSep 23 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.836101151J. Zandecki1.8311123113WSep 23 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.3331111113K. Kolodziej3.25117661WSep 23 · 10:00A. Grela2.201151111122J. Kosowski1.61811139143WSep 23 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.6711117113S. Kolasa2.10971141WSep 23 · 08:30J. Kosowski1.73114811113J. Zandecki2.0071111692LSep 23 · 06:55J. Kosowski1.7513681182M. Jadczyk1.951111118113
P. Chodorski10
WSep 28 · 05:40K. Petas2.006690P. Chodorski1.731111113LSep 28 · 04:55P. Chodorski2.25111111792G. Felkel1.57971311113LSep 28 · 03:45P. Chodorski1.91101181472M. Jadczyk1.801251112113LSep 2 · 16:40P. Chodorski1.4484111152R. Formela2.6311116363WAug 30 · 17:30P. Chodorski—71111113F. Wetzel—114371WAug 29 · 17:00A. Stalzer—5990P. Chodorski—1111113WAug 28 · 17:39J. Cavaille1.6131181142P. Chodorski2.2011511363LApr 12 · 12:33P. Chodorski2.2510118131M. Zalewski1.5712211153LApr 1 · 11:35P. Chodorski1.7300J. Braun2.0050LApr 1 · 10:45A. Wiecek1.611111113P. Chodorski2.207760
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