TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kacper Petas vs Jakub Kosowski 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1159111210119––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:18 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeJakub Kosowski to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Jakub Kosowski @ 1.73 · Lost
How it is goingKacper Petas above · Jakub Kosowski below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jakub Kosowski at 55.7%
78 points played in total.
H2H Kacper Petas 35–67 Jakub Kosowski Kacper Petas has won 35 of their 102 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 08:18What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kosowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-67 in 102
Kosowski
Wrong
gap of 32 in 102, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Petas 1882 vs Kosowski 1916
Kosowski
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Petas 40% vs Kosowski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Petas 40% vs Kosowski 60%
Kosowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Petas -1 · Kosowski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kosowski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPetas 2.00 / Kosowski 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Kosowski)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13206378
Petas2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 106 of 248
Down 0–1, comes back18% 23 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 65
Kosowski1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 281 of 423
Up 2–0, closes it95% 130 of 137
Up 1–0, closes it86% 219 of 256
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePetas5wins
AwayKosowski5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePetas75%3 of 4
AwayKosowski66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Petas4Kosowski6n = 10Kosowski took 6 of 10
S2Petas5Kosowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Petas6Kosowski4n = 10Petas took 6 of 10
S4Petas3Kosowski5n = 8Kosowski took 5 of 8
S5Petas2Kosowski1n = 3Petas took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPetasKosowskiP − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.035.7+2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPetasKosowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime686 / 1300 vs 724 / 123252.8%58.8%686 / 1300 vs 724 / 1232Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosowskiPetas 2.00/Kosowski 1.73
Miss
What we said
55.7%
Kosowski · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Jakub Kosowski @ 1.73 · Lost
What happened
3–1
Petas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 28 · 04:10K. Petas37991181J. Kosowski3911116113
WSep 1 · 13:45K. Petas4271111133J. Kosowski311145111
LSep 1 · 08:30K. Petas36911881J. Kosowski3911611113
LAug 31 · 11:40K. Petas33911851J. Kosowski3811511113
LAug 31 · 04:55K. Petas229850J. Kosowski331111113
WAug 25 · 09:20K. Petas521110119113J. Kosowski3861241152
WAug 25 · 04:10K. Petas331111113J. Kosowski154650
WAug 19 · 10:00K. Petas44117411113J. Kosowski4271111762
LAug 19 · 05:40K. Petas46118115112J. Kosowski48511811133
WAug 16 · 12:30K. Petas3521111113J. Kosowski34118781
K. Petas10
WSep 28 · 10:00P. Chodorski2.2011641162K. Petas1.61911114113LSep 28 · 08:30K. Petas1.611111871G. Felkel2.2013611113WSep 28 · 06:55K. Petas1.911211113M. Jadczyk1.8010650LSep 28 · 05:40K. Petas2.006690P. Chodorski1.731111113LSep 28 · 04:10K. Petas2.25991181J. Kosowski1.5711116113WSep 28 · 03:00K. Petas2.101111113T. Spanik1.676970LSep 27 · 14:35K. Petas1.9167110M. Miastowski1.801111133LSep 27 · 12:55K. Petas2.105161151M. Jadczyk1.6711185113WSep 27 · 11:40K. Petas1.2511117113G. Adamiak3.75991141LSep 27 · 10:00K. Petas1.80711891K. Kolodziej1.9111911113
J. Kosowski10
LSep 28 · 07:45J. Kosowski2.001011841M. Jadczyk1.7012711113LSep 28 · 06:30J. Kosowski1.671156111P. Chodorski2.1081111133WSep 28 · 05:15J. Kosowski1.571112113T. Spanik2.2591040WSep 28 · 04:10K. Petas2.25991181J. Kosowski1.5711116113LSep 28 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.6710930G. Felkel2.101211113WSep 23 · 13:45J. Kosowski1.307111110113K. Strowski3.4011371262LSep 23 · 12:30J. Kosowski1.836101151J. Zandecki1.8311123113WSep 23 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.3331111113K. Kolodziej3.25117661WSep 23 · 10:00A. Grela2.201151111122J. Kosowski1.61811139143WSep 23 · 09:20J. Kosowski1.6711117113S. Kolasa2.10971141
Upcoming Matches
K. Petas
J. Kosowski
Sep 28 · 10:50J. Kosowski1.57G. Felkel2.25—Sep 28 · 12:05J. Kosowski—M. Jadczyk——Sep 28 · 13:20J. Kosowski1.73T. Spanik2.00—Sep 28 · 14:35J. Kosowski1.53P. Chodorski2.38—Sep 29 · 03:25J. Kosowski1.53P. Chodorski2.38—Sep 29 · 04:55J. Kosowski1.80P. David1.91—Sep 29 · 06:05J. Kosowski2.10A. Wiecek1.67—Sep 29 · 07:20J. Kosowski1.67J. Zandecki2.10—Sep 29 · 08:30J. Kosowski1.57G. Felkel2.25—Sep 29 · 09:40J. Kosowski1.53P. Chodorski2.38—
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