TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yurii Kolos vs Maksym Khomenko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811411611––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:07 and never touched — 82.7% is still 82.7%
Graded at full timeMaksym Khomenko to win
82.7%
82.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Kolos above · Maksym Khomenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 51 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Maksym Khomenko at 82.7%
51 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Kolos 3–15 Maksym Khomenko Yurii Kolos has won 3 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:07What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Khomenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-15 in 18
Khomenko
Correct
gap of 12 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolos 1526 vs Khomenko 1602
Khomenko
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolos 60% vs Khomenko 40%
Kolos
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolos 40% vs Khomenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolos +1 · Khomenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Khomenko) · live re-read · sealed at 83% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khomenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolos 4.33 / Khomenko 1.20
Signal prob.19% / 81%
Edge (Khomenko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13202968
Kolos4.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 9 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Khomenko1.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 77 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it100% 48 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it86% 57 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolos1wins
AwayKhomenko9wins
Khomenko leads 9–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolosn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKhomenko100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolos1Khomenko9n = 10Khomenko took 9 of 10
S2Kolos2Khomenko8n = 10Khomenko took 8 of 10
S3Kolos2Khomenko8n = 10Khomenko took 8 of 10
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away770%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolosKhomenkoKolos − KhomenkoBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match22.434.1−11.7per matchSweeps17−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolosKhomenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 112 vs 458 / 83946.4%54.6%52 / 112 vs 458 / 839Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.836.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhomenkoKolos 4.33/Khomenko 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
80.7%
Khomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Khomenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 12:35Y. Kolos2393110M. Khomenko351111133
LSep 7 · 09:44Y. Kolos145630M. Khomenko331111113
LSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos178540M. Khomenko331111113
LAug 30 · 17:05Y. Kolos151680M. Khomenko331111113
LAug 16 · 16:35Y. Kolos25411641M. Khomenko3911611113
LAug 10 · 09:35Y. Kolos33691171M. Khomenko4211119113
LAug 2 · 12:35Y. Kolos218760M. Khomenko331111113
LJun 21 · 16:05Y. Kolos29108110M. Khomenko361211133
LJun 14 · 17:05Y. Kolos135620M. Khomenko331111113
WMar 9 · 12:05Y. Kolos341211113M. Khomenko2410680
Y. Kolos10
WSep 27 · 12:35Y. Kolos2.201111107113Y. Vorsuliak1.6185121172LSep 13 · 18:05R. Novak2.2581114113Y. Kolos1.571121291WSep 13 · 17:05Y. Kolos1.361111113Y. Parahailo3.006870LSep 13 · 16:05Y. Kolos2.108860O. Rodin1.67111162WSep 13 · 14:35Y. Kolos1.83913814123V. Kovalchuk1.8311111112102LSep 13 · 12:35Y. Kolos4.0093110M. Khomenko1.221111133LSep 7 · 09:44M. Khomenko1.281111113Y. Kolos3.505630LSep 7 · 09:05D. Shchegelskyi1.8312311153Y. Kolos1.8310118131WSep 7 · 07:35Y. Kolos1.911111127113O. Rodin1.8087141172LSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos3.258540M. Khomenko1.331111113
M. Khomenko10
WSep 27 · 15:35M. Khomenko2.501113143Y. Vorsuliak1.50811120LSep 27 · 13:05M. Khomenko2.3864111112D. Shchegelskyi1.5311117943WSep 27 · 02:00Y. Parahailo3.75115661M. Khomenko1.2591111113WSep 27 · 01:00M. Khomenko2.201111113D. Shchegelskyi1.618730LSep 27 · 00:00M. Khomenko2.50101030Y. Vorsuliak1.501212113LSep 26 · 22:30M. Khomenko1.40211171Y. Tebenko2.7511711113LSep 26 · 20:30M. Khomenko1.9121112842R. Novak1.801151011113WSep 13 · 12:35Y. Kolos4.0093110M. Khomenko1.221111133WSep 7 · 09:44M. Khomenko1.281111113Y. Kolos3.505630WSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos3.258540M. Khomenko1.331111113
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