TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yurii Kolos vs Yaroslav Vorsuliak 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181151012711117
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:18 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Vorsuliak to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Kolos above · Yaroslav Vorsuliak below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 93 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Yaroslav Vorsuliak at 62.1%
93 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Kolos 5–10 Yaroslav Vorsuliak Yurii Kolos has won 5 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:18What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vorsuliak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-10 in 15
Vorsuliak
Wrong
gap of 5 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolos 1512 vs Vorsuliak 1622
Vorsuliak
Wrong
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolos 40% vs Vorsuliak 80%
Vorsuliak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolos 30% vs Vorsuliak 50%
Vorsuliak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolos -1 · Vorsuliak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Vorsuliak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorsuliak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolos 2.20 / Vorsuliak 1.61
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Vorsuliak)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13202602
Kolos2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 14 days ago (Sep 13) · back after a break
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 9 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Vorsuliak1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 105 of 170
Up 2–0, closes it90% 46 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it79% 77 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolos2wins
AwayVorsuliak8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVorsuliak leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolos66.7%2 of 3
AwayVorsuliak100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolos3Vorsuliak7n = 10Vorsuliak took 7 of 10
S2Kolos6Vorsuliak4n = 10Kolos took 6 of 10
S3Kolos5Vorsuliak5n = 10split evenly
S4Kolos0Vorsuliak5n = 5Vorsuliak took 5 of 5
S5Kolos0Vorsuliak3n = 3Vorsuliak took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolosVorsuliakK − VBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.538.4−5.9per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolosVorsuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime51 / 112 vs 439 / 88045.5%49.9%51 / 112 vs 439 / 880Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorsuliakKolos 2.20/Vorsuliak 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.1%
Vorsuliak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kolos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 04:35Y. Kolos4591113842Y. Vorsuliak531191111113
WAug 30 · 15:05Y. Kolos331111113Y. Vorsuliak269890
LAug 16 · 13:05Y. Kolos2410860Y. Vorsuliak341211113
LJul 19 · 19:05Y. Kolos3912116732Y. Vorsuliak491061111113
LJun 21 · 14:05Y. Kolos329111021Y. Vorsuliak3611212113
LJun 14 · 19:05Y. Kolos4351111792Y. Vorsuliak51119911113
WJun 8 · 04:35Y. Kolos341211113Y. Vorsuliak2310580
LJun 7 · 19:05Y. Kolos198380Y. Vorsuliak331111113
LJun 7 · 17:10Y. Kolos206950Y. Vorsuliak331111113
LFeb 6 · 06:05Y. Kolos36491581Y. Vorsuliak46111113113
Y. Kolos10
LSep 13 · 18:05R. Novak2.2581114113Y. Kolos1.571121291WSep 13 · 17:05Y. Kolos1.361111113Y. Parahailo3.006870LSep 13 · 16:05Y. Kolos2.108860O. Rodin1.67111162WSep 13 · 14:35Y. Kolos1.83913814123V. Kovalchuk1.8311111112102LSep 13 · 12:35Y. Kolos4.0093110M. Khomenko1.221111133LSep 7 · 09:44M. Khomenko1.281111113Y. Kolos3.505630LSep 7 · 09:05D. Shchegelskyi1.8312311153Y. Kolos1.8310118131WSep 7 · 07:35Y. Kolos1.911111127113O. Rodin1.8087141172LSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos3.258540M. Khomenko1.331111113LSep 7 · 04:35Y. Kolos2.1091113842Y. Vorsuliak1.671191111113
Y. Vorsuliak10
WSep 27 · 13:35R. Novak2.75991181Y. Vorsuliak1.4011119113LSep 27 · 02:30Y. Tebenko2.00101112113Y. Vorsuliak1.731291091WSep 27 · 01:30R. Novak2.637190Y. Vorsuliak1.441111113WSep 27 · 00:00M. Khomenko2.50101030Y. Vorsuliak1.501212113WSep 26 · 22:00D. Shchegelskyi2.251161081Y. Vorsuliak1.5751112113WSep 26 · 20:00Y. Parahailo2.38111171472Y. Vorsuliak1.53671116113LSep 24 · 03:00V. Slozka1.531111113Y. Vorsuliak2.388680LSep 24 · 01:30Y. Vorsuliak2.001112571V. Krokhmal1.7341411113WSep 23 · 23:30R. Konkulovskyi1.338880Y. Vorsuliak3.251111113WSep 7 · 04:35Y. Kolos2.1091113842Y. Vorsuliak1.671191111113
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