TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksii Tiutiunnyk vs Maksym Denysenko 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711116911911––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaksym Denysenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Tiutiunnyk above · Maksym Denysenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 75 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Maksym Denysenko at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Tiutiunnyk 0–2 Maksym Denysenko Oleksii Tiutiunnyk has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:58What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Denysenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Tiutiunnyk 1601 vs Denysenko 1645
Denysenko
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tiutiunnyk 40% vs Denysenko 60%
Denysenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tiutiunnyk 50% vs Denysenko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tiutiunnyk -2 · Denysenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Denysenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTiutiunnyk 2.00 / Denysenko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Denysenko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13202908
Tiutiunnyk2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog27% won 3 of 11
Down 0–1, comes back14% 1 of 7
Denysenko1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite63% won 20 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it83% 15 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeTiutiunnyk0wins
AwayDenysenko2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderDenysenko leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricTiutiunnykDenysenkoT − DBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match36.039.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTiutiunnykDenysenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 110 vs 44 / 8647.3%51.2%52 / 110 vs 44 / 86Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DenysenkoTiutiunnyk 2.00/Denysenko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Denysenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Denysenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 27 · 09:00O. Tiutiunnyk36711991M. Denysenko3911611113
O. Tiutiunnyk10
LSep 27 · 08:00P. Kolesnik2.1011129113O. Tiutiunnyk1.677101181LSep 27 · 07:00M. Levytskii1.9111313113O. Tiutiunnyk1.806111171WSep 27 · 05:30O. Torianyk3.25111070O. Tiutiunnyk1.331312113WSep 26 · 17:41O. Tiutiunnyk1.361111113O. Torianyk3.006460LSep 26 · 16:00M. Denysenko1.9191111663O. Tiutiunnyk1.8011871152LSep 26 · 14:30M. Levytskii2.001311113O. Tiutiunnyk1.7311690WSep 26 · 13:00P. Kolesnik1.9172120O. Tiutiunnyk1.801111143WSep 26 · 12:00O. Torianyk2.75581141O. Tiutiunnyk1.4011119113WSep 13 · 10:39P. Kolesnik1.831181051O. Tiutiunnyk1.8371112113LSep 13 · 09:30M. Levytskii1.91118811113O. Tiutiunnyk1.8071111862
M. Denysenko10
WSep 27 · 07:30O. Torianyk1.8381411522M. Denysenko1.831112911113WSep 27 · 06:00M. Levytskii1.7311115462M. Denysenko2.00751111113LSep 27 · 05:00P. Kolesnik1.83111199113M. Denysenko1.8397111192LSep 26 · 17:10M. Denysenko2.07121171172M. Levytskii1.67144114113WSep 26 · 16:00M. Denysenko1.9191111663O. Tiutiunnyk1.8011871152WSep 26 · 15:00O. Torianyk1.80111310752M. Denysenko1.904111211103LSep 26 · 14:00P. Kolesnik1.9111911113M. Denysenko1.80611541LSep 26 · 12:30M. Levytskii1.73111110113M. Denysenko2.00481281LAug 28 · 10:09P. Kolesnik2.201111113M. Denysenko1.615790WAug 28 · 09:30S. Sideltsev3.251011971M. Denysenko1.3312911113
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