TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Torianyk vs Oleksii Tiutiunnyk 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
11131012711––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:00 and never touched — 72.5% is still 72.5%
Graded at full timeOleksii Tiutiunnyk to win
72.5%
72.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Torianyk above · Oleksii Tiutiunnyk below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 64 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Oleksii Tiutiunnyk at 72.5%
64 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Torianyk 4–17 Oleksii Tiutiunnyk Oleh Torianyk has won 4 of their 21 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 12h before this match
Tiutiunnyk beat Torianyk 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:00What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-17 in 21
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
gap of 13 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Torianyk 1598 vs Tiutiunnyk 1623
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Torianyk 20% vs Tiutiunnyk 60%
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Torianyk 60% vs Tiutiunnyk 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Torianyk -1 · Tiutiunnyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Tiutiunnyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tiutiunnyk form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTorianyk 3.25 / Tiutiunnyk 1.33
Signal prob.28% / 73%
Edge (Tiutiunnyk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13202843
Torianyk3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 42 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back30% 19 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back14% 5 of 35
Tiutiunnyk1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 17 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it75% 15 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTorianyk3wins
AwayTiutiunnyk7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTiutiunnyk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTorianyk66.7%2 of 3
AwayTiutiunnyk85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Torianyk3Tiutiunnyk7n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 7 of 10
S2Torianyk3Tiutiunnyk7n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 7 of 10
S3Torianyk2Tiutiunnyk8n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 8 of 10
S4Torianyk2Tiutiunnyk5n = 7Tiutiunnyk took 5 of 7
S5Torianyk3Tiutiunnyk0n = 3Torianyk took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricTorianykTiutiunnykTorianyk − TiutiunnykBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.138.0−4.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTorianykTiutiunnykBasisWin rate · lifetime282 / 507 vs 51 / 10655.6%48.1%282 / 507 vs 51 / 106Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TiutiunnykTorianyk 3.25/Tiutiunnyk 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.5%
Tiutiunnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tiutiunnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 26 · 17:41O. Torianyk166460O. Tiutiunnyk331111113
LSep 26 · 12:00O. Torianyk28581141O. Tiutiunnyk4211119113
LSep 13 · 08:00O. Torianyk31811481O. Tiutiunnyk4211911113
WSep 12 · 16:30O. Torianyk49791111113O. Tiutiunnyk3711119422
WJul 5 · 08:30O. Torianyk48118612113O. Tiutiunnyk42311111072
WJul 4 · 14:00O. Torianyk48111178113O. Tiutiunnyk3644111162
LApr 12 · 10:35O. Torianyk31611771O. Tiutiunnyk3911611113
LApr 12 · 06:30O. Torianyk2110740O. Tiutiunnyk341211113
LApr 11 · 17:29O. Torianyk2281130O. Tiutiunnyk351113113
LJan 31 · 16:00O. Torianyk371181261O. Tiutiunnyk4041114113
O. Torianyk10
WSep 27 · 06:30P. Kolesnik2.63811814102O. Torianyk1.441191112123LSep 26 · 17:41O. Tiutiunnyk1.361111113O. Torianyk3.006460WSep 26 · 16:30P. Kolesnik3.001111951O. Torianyk1.361371183LSep 26 · 15:00O. Torianyk1.80111310752M. Denysenko1.904111211103LSep 26 · 13:30O. Torianyk2.631081211102M. Levytskii1.441211107123LSep 26 · 12:00O. Torianyk2.75581141O. Tiutiunnyk1.4011119113WSep 20 · 10:28O. Torianyk1.40812118113S. Sideltsev2.75111071162WSep 20 · 08:30S. Sideltsev3.00711851O. Torianyk1.3611911113WSep 20 · 07:30O. Torianyk1.441111113P. Kolesnik2.638880WSep 20 · 06:30D. Tsys2.00991281O. Torianyk1.73111110113
O. Tiutiunnyk10
LSep 27 · 07:00M. Levytskii1.9111313113O. Tiutiunnyk1.806111171WSep 26 · 17:41O. Tiutiunnyk1.361111113O. Torianyk3.006460LSep 26 · 16:00M. Denysenko1.9191111663O. Tiutiunnyk1.8011871152LSep 26 · 14:30M. Levytskii2.001311113O. Tiutiunnyk1.7311690WSep 26 · 13:00P. Kolesnik1.9172120O. Tiutiunnyk1.801111143WSep 26 · 12:00O. Torianyk2.75581141O. Tiutiunnyk1.4011119113WSep 13 · 10:39P. Kolesnik1.831181051O. Tiutiunnyk1.8371112113LSep 13 · 09:30M. Levytskii1.91118811113O. Tiutiunnyk1.8071111862WSep 13 · 08:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.5011911113O. Torianyk2.50811481WSep 13 · 06:30O. Tiutiunnyk2.501111113S. Bului1.508990
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.