TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Myhailo Levytskii vs Maksym Denysenko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117115511411611
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:27 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeMyhailo Levytskii to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMyhailo Levytskii above · Maksym Denysenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 82 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Myhailo Levytskii at 55.3%
82 points played in total.
H2H Myhailo Levytskii 8–3 Maksym Denysenko Maksym Denysenko has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:27What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Levytskii
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-3 in 11
Levytskii
Wrong
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levytskii 1725 vs Denysenko 1624
Levytskii
Wrong
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levytskii 100% vs Denysenko 40%
Levytskii
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levytskii 100% vs Denysenko 40%
Levytskii
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Levytskii +10 · Denysenko -2
Levytskii
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Levytskii)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levytskii form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevytskii 1.73 / Denysenko 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Levytskii)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13203160
Levytskii1.73
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 10
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite74% won 65 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it82% 49 of 60
Denysenko2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 18 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back26% 6 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLevytskii8wins
AwayDenysenko2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevytskii leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevytskii85.7%6 of 7
AwayDenysenko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levytskii7Denysenko3n = 10Levytskii took 7 of 10
S2Levytskii6Denysenko4n = 10Levytskii took 6 of 10
S3Levytskii5Denysenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Levytskii4Denysenko3n = 7Levytskii took 4 of 7
S5Levytskii4Denysenko1n = 5Levytskii took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLevytskiiDenysenkoL − DBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.836.6+3.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevytskiiDenysenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 306 vs 42 / 8454.6%50%167 / 306 vs 42 / 84Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LevytskiiLevytskii 1.73/Denysenko 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.3%
Levytskii · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Denysenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 06:00M. Levytskii3711115462M. Denysenko45751111113
WSep 26 · 17:10M. Levytskii44144114113M. Denysenko48121171172
WSep 26 · 12:30M. Levytskii43111110113M. Denysenko32481281
WAug 26 · 13:30M. Levytskii49881111113M. Denysenko4611118882
WAug 13 · 17:04M. Levytskii331111113M. Denysenko238960
WAug 13 · 12:30M. Levytskii331111113M. Denysenko218760
WAug 8 · 09:30M. Levytskii4211118123M. Denysenko357711101
WAug 7 · 16:30M. Levytskii48111178113M. Denysenko4078111132
WJul 25 · 09:30M. Levytskii44381111113M. Denysenko4211116862
LJul 24 · 15:30M. Levytskii2581070M. Denysenko341112113
M. Levytskii10
WSep 27 · 07:00M. Levytskii1.9111313113O. Tiutiunnyk1.806111171WSep 26 · 17:10M. Denysenko2.07121171172M. Levytskii1.67144114113WSep 26 · 15:30P. Kolesnik2.389870M. Levytskii1.53111183WSep 26 · 14:30M. Levytskii2.001311113O. Tiutiunnyk1.7311690WSep 26 · 13:30O. Torianyk2.631081211102M. Levytskii1.441211107123WSep 26 · 12:30M. Levytskii1.73111110113M. Denysenko2.00481281WSep 19 · 17:35M. Levytskii1.50118118113P. Kolesnik2.50911811102WSep 19 · 15:30P. Kolesnik2.5011611842M. Levytskii1.50611911113WSep 19 · 14:30M. Levytskii1.44111112113O. Torianyk2.63631461WSep 19 · 13:30D. Tsys1.91841151M. Levytskii1.801111773
M. Denysenko10
LSep 27 · 05:00P. Kolesnik1.83111199113M. Denysenko1.8397111192LSep 26 · 17:10M. Denysenko2.07121171172M. Levytskii1.67144114113WSep 26 · 16:00M. Denysenko1.9191111663O. Tiutiunnyk1.8011871152WSep 26 · 15:00O. Torianyk1.80111310752M. Denysenko1.904111211103LSep 26 · 14:00P. Kolesnik1.9111911113M. Denysenko1.80611541LSep 26 · 12:30M. Levytskii1.73111110113M. Denysenko2.00481281LAug 28 · 10:09P. Kolesnik2.201111113M. Denysenko1.615790WAug 28 · 09:30S. Sideltsev3.251011971M. Denysenko1.3312911113WAug 28 · 08:00M. Denysenko1.6181211113P. Kolesnik2.201110991LAug 28 · 06:30M. Denysenko1.80113881O. Torianyk1.9161111113
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