TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Dmytro Ponomarenko vs Sergii Skhabitskiy 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116511811811––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:07 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeSergii Skhabitskiy to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Ponomarenko above · Sergii Skhabitskiy below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 71 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Sergii Skhabitskiy at 62.5%
71 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Ponomarenko 0–3 Sergii Skhabitskiy Dmytro Ponomarenko has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:07What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Skhabitskiy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Skhabitskiy
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ponomarenko 1353 vs Skhabitskiy 1334
Ponomarenko
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ponomarenko 40% vs Skhabitskiy 60%
Skhabitskiy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ponomarenko 30% vs Skhabitskiy 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ponomarenko -2 · Skhabitskiy +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Skhabitskiy)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPonomarenko 2.50 / Skhabitskiy 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Skhabitskiy)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13202187
Ponomarenko2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog25% won 12 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back9% 3 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Skhabitskiy1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 103 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it98% 53 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it80% 78 of 97
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePonomarenko0wins
AwaySkhabitskiy3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSkhabitskiy leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePonomarenkon = 0, below the 3 needed
AwaySkhabitskiy100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ponomarenko0Skhabitskiy3n = 3Skhabitskiy took 3 of 3
S2Ponomarenko1Skhabitskiy2n = 3Skhabitskiy took 2 of 3
S3Ponomarenko2Skhabitskiy1n = 3Ponomarenko took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricPonomarenkoSkhabitskiyP − SBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match37.743.7−6.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPonomarenkoSkhabitskiyBasisWin rate · lifetime35 / 88 vs 471 / 106939.8%44.1%35 / 88 vs 471 / 1069Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkhabitskiyPonomarenko 2.50/Skhabitskiy 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Skhabitskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skhabitskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 21 · 05:35D. Ponomarenko47101311492S. Skhabitskiy511211611113
LSep 20 · 17:00D. Ponomarenko2581250S. Skhabitskiy361114113
LAug 3 · 08:20D. Ponomarenko4110911111S. Skhabitskiy4412118133
D. Ponomarenko10
WSep 27 · 18:00V. Melnykov1.9191111772D. Ponomarenko1.80115811113LSep 27 · 16:00D. Ponomarenko3.7511970O. Ovsiienko1.251311113LSep 27 · 14:30D. Ponomarenko2.2011810101V. Smyk1.6191112123WSep 27 · 12:30D. Ponomarenko1.57119118113M. Stetsenko2.2561191172LSep 21 · 11:05V. Mukhin2.00111177113D. Ponomarenko1.7365111172WSep 21 · 10:05D. Ponomarenko1.831310911113O. Mytsyk1.83111211582WSep 21 · 09:05D. Ponomarenko1.7311123113M. Stetsenko2.006101161LSep 21 · 07:35D. Ponomarenko2.001111081O. Ovsiienko1.7361112113LSep 21 · 05:35D. Ponomarenko2.38101311492S. Skhabitskiy1.531211611113LSep 20 · 19:00D. Ponomarenko2.10111040O. Lipeiko1.671312113
S. Skhabitskiy10
WSep 27 · 15:00V. Melnykov1.73118791S. Skhabitskiy2.0051111113LSep 27 · 14:00S. Skhabitskiy2.0051311772O. Ovsiienko1.731111711113LSep 27 · 13:00V. Smyk1.73581111113S. Skhabitskiy2.0011118482WSep 25 · 11:35S. Skhabitskiy1.731112113V. Korniichuk2.0051080WSep 25 · 09:35V. Mukhin4.50671191S. Skhabitskiy1.1711118113LSep 25 · 08:35S. Skhabitskiy1.91119691O. Ovsiienko1.8091111113LSep 25 · 07:35V. Melnykov1.7311811123S. Skhabitskiy2.009118101LSep 25 · 06:05S. Skhabitskiy2.101147111O. Mytsyk1.6791111133LSep 24 · 11:50S. Skhabitskiy2.20311871A. Kovalenko1.6111211113WSep 21 · 05:35D. Ponomarenko2.38101311492S. Skhabitskiy1.531211611113
Upcoming Matches
D. Ponomarenko
Nothing scheduled
S. Skhabitskiy
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