TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jakub Pilch vs Daniel Tomica 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111181166111210
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJakub Pilch above · Daniel Tomica below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 95 set 5, 12-10
95 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Pilch 10–7 Daniel Tomica Daniel Tomica has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Pilch beat Tomica 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Tomica)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pilch form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPilch 2.10 / Tomica 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Tomica)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13200400
Pilch2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 33 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back30% 12 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Tomica1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 22 of 34
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it79% 15 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePilch5wins
AwayTomica5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePilch66.7%2 of 3
AwayTomica57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pilch3Tomica7n = 10Tomica took 7 of 10
S2Pilch7Tomica3n = 10Pilch took 7 of 10
S3Pilch5Tomica5n = 10split evenly
S4Pilch3Tomica5n = 8Tomica took 5 of 8
S5Pilch2Tomica1n = 3Pilch took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPilchTomicaP − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.439.3−1.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPilchTomicaBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 449 vs 95 / 19350.6%49.2%227 / 449 vs 95 / 193Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TomicaPilch 2.10/Tomica 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Tomica · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pilch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 26 · 10:00J. Pilch47391111133D. Tomica48111178112
WSep 24 · 17:30J. Pilch4061111123D. Tomica291144101
LSep 24 · 16:00J. Pilch26011781D. Tomica3911611113
WSep 19 · 17:31J. Pilch47511119113D. Tomica4511881172
LSep 19 · 14:30J. Pilch30511951D. Tomica4211911113
LSep 18 · 15:00J. Pilch49111197112D. Tomica45551111133
LJul 17 · 14:30J. Pilch2578100D. Tomica341111123
WJul 11 · 12:30J. Pilch4311712133D. Tomica4191110111
WJul 4 · 17:30J. Pilch361113123D. Tomica28711100
LJul 4 · 16:00J. Pilch311011461D. Tomica4212811113
J. Pilch10
WSep 26 · 12:00J. Pilch1.831111113L. Prikasky1.839670WSep 26 · 11:30M. Navedla2.10111410872J. Pilch1.671121211113WSep 26 · 10:00J. Pilch1.73391111133D. Tomica2.00111178112WSep 24 · 17:30D. Tomica2.001144101J. Pilch1.7361111123LSep 24 · 16:00D. Tomica1.9111611113J. Pilch1.80011781WSep 24 · 15:00M. Cabis1.91611571J. Pilch1.8011811113WSep 24 · 14:30J. Pilch1.7311311113M. Grundel2.00411591LSep 24 · 13:30J. Pilch2.90138114132R. Revay1.351111411153WSep 24 · 12:30T. Zika2.0011960J. Pilch1.731311113WSep 24 · 11:30J. Pilch2.7511114113J. Szotkowski1.40991171
D. Tomica10
WSep 26 · 12:30D. Tomica1.617111111143M. Navedla2.20116135122WSep 26 · 11:00D. Tomica2.639111113113L. Prikasky1.4411461582LSep 26 · 10:00J. Pilch1.73391111133D. Tomica2.00111178112LSep 24 · 17:30D. Tomica2.001144101J. Pilch1.7361111123WSep 24 · 16:00D. Tomica1.9111611113J. Pilch1.80011781LSep 24 · 15:30M. Grundel1.67137911133D. Tomica2.101111115112WSep 24 · 14:00D. Tomica1.7311111010113M. Cabis2.0097121272LSep 19 · 17:31D. Tomica1.9011881172J. Pilch1.80511119113WSep 19 · 16:30M. Navedla2.10118991D. Tomica1.6771111113WSep 19 · 15:30D. Tomica1.73941111113M. Cabis2.0011116692
Upcoming Matches
J. Pilch
D. Tomica
Nothing scheduled
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