TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Lukasz Bernacki vs Damian Fira 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511411116711––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
511411116711––
H2H Lukasz Bernacki 10–4 Damian Fira Damian Fira has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Bernacki beat Fira 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Bernacki)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fira form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBernacki 1.52 / Fira 2.30
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Bernacki)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13197859
Bernacki1.52
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite66% won 61 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it100% 34 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it87% 45 of 52
Fira2.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 85 of 207
Down 0–1, comes back25% 28 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back14% 8 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBernacki8wins
AwayFira2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBernacki leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBernacki83.3%5 of 6
AwayFira25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bernacki6Fira4n = 10Bernacki took 6 of 10
S2Bernacki6Fira4n = 10Bernacki took 6 of 10
S3Bernacki6Fira4n = 10Bernacki took 6 of 10
S4Bernacki5Fira3n = 8Bernacki took 5 of 8
S5Bernacki3Fira1n = 4Bernacki took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBernackiFiraB − FBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.034.5+6.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBernackiFiraBasisWin rate · lifetime248 / 487 vs 208 / 47450.9%43.9%248 / 487 vs 208 / 474Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BernackiBernacki 1.52/Fira 2.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.4%
Bernacki · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fira won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 22:20L. Bernacki4291111113D. Fira32119661
WSep 4 · 23:30L. Bernacki4071111113D. Fira30117481
LSep 4 · 22:40L. Bernacki2791350D. Fira371115113
WJul 26 · 20:45L. Bernacki4071111113D. Fira28117371
WJul 26 · 02:20L. Bernacki331111113D. Fira237790
WApr 5 · 21:55L. Bernacki47111177113D. Fira3755111152
WApr 5 · 03:55L. Bernacki46117611113D. Fira4031111782
WApr 4 · 21:55L. Bernacki4111118113D. Fira30861151
LMar 22 · 03:45L. Bernacki4412911482D. Fira481011511113
WMar 22 · 00:05L. Bernacki50118119113D. Fira4061181142
L. Bernacki10
LSep 25 · 23:30L. Bernacki1.879113101J. Badura1.8311911123WSep 25 · 22:20D. Fira2.20119661L. Bernacki1.5791111113WSep 25 · 21:30R. Wiza2.501110961L. Bernacki1.5091211113LSep 25 · 20:45L. Bernacki2.009970J. Orszulik1.721111113WSep 25 · 19:10L. Bernacki1.801111911113J. Badura1.9094111362WSep 25 · 18:20O. Sokolowski2.0581450L. Bernacki1.651116113LSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113LSep 6 · 03:30L. Bernacki1.704111061R. Wiza2.0011912113WSep 6 · 02:20L. Bernacki1.62911815113A. Szurgot2.17118111372LSep 6 · 00:45L. Bernacki2.059640R. Szymik1.701111113
D. Fira10
WSep 25 · 23:55D. Fira2.25123711113J. Orszulik1.57101111642LSep 25 · 22:20D. Fira2.20119661L. Bernacki1.5791111113WSep 25 · 21:05D. Fira1.8211811113O. Sokolowski1.88411651LSep 25 · 19:55D. Fira2.15117641J. Badura1.6371111113WSep 25 · 18:45R. Wiza1.956131171D. Fira1.7511159113WSep 25 · 17:55D. Fira2.751291113113J. Orszulik1.37141171122WSep 20 · 04:40D. Fira1.801211113J. Nowak1.9010650WSep 20 · 03:05R. Szymik1.6866120D. Fira2.071111143LSep 20 · 02:20D. Dytko1.521011912113D. Fira2.11129111082WSep 20 · 01:30D. Fira1.501111113J. Michalski2.405790
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