TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Jan Seeman vs Jakub Dufek Jnr 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
16147111012811––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Seeman to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Seeman above · Jakub Dufek Jnr below
Set 1 · 16-14
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 89 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jan Seeman at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Jan Seeman 11–15 Jakub Dufek Jnr Jan Seeman has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:25What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Jnr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-15 in 26
Jnr
Correct
gap of 4 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Seeman 1384 vs Jnr 1284
Seeman
Wrong
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Seeman 60% vs Jnr 20%
Seeman
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Seeman 50% vs Jnr 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Seeman +3 · Jnr -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Seeman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jnr form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSeeman 1.83 / Jnr 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Seeman)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13197145
Seeman1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Jnr1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSeeman5wins
AwayJnr5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSeeman42.9%3 of 7
AwayJnr33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Seeman7Jnr3n = 10Seeman took 7 of 10
S2Seeman6Jnr4n = 10Seeman took 6 of 10
S3Seeman2Jnr8n = 10Jnr took 8 of 10
S4Seeman4Jnr4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSeemanJnrS − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.439.3+0.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSeemanJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 280 vs 246 / 48147.1%51.1%132 / 280 vs 246 / 481Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeemanSeeman 1.83/Jnr 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Seeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jnr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 17 · 11:30J. Seeman551311101562J. Jnr6011131213113
WSep 12 · 21:03J. Seeman539121011113J. Jnr47111012772
WSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman4211119113J. Jnr32681171
WSep 3 · 12:00J. Seeman341112113J. Jnr2891090
WAug 23 · 21:03J. Seeman331111113J. Jnr207850
LAug 23 · 20:00J. Seeman3411310101J. Jnr4161112123
LAug 16 · 17:00J. Seeman409121181J. Jnr45111013113
LAug 16 · 16:00J. Seeman32118581J. Jnr3851111113
LJul 24 · 18:30J. Seeman32126861J. Jnr43101111113
J. Seeman10
WSep 26 · 19:30J. Seeman1.91101111113D. Sabuka1.80128781WSep 26 · 17:30J. Seeman1.44115511113M. Cmil2.6381111752WSep 25 · 20:59J. Seeman2.1011911113J. Hanacek1.67611971WSep 25 · 20:00J. Hanacek1.57671181J. Seeman2.2511117113LSep 25 · 19:00K. Jirousek1.7311513113J. Seeman2.008111191LSep 25 · 17:30J. Pina1.4011113123J. Seeman2.756911101LSep 19 · 16:39M. Melisek1.401111103J. Seeman2.758860LSep 19 · 15:30J. Seeman2.105111471J. Hanacek1.6711816113WSep 19 · 14:30J. Seeman3.2511118113M. Melisek1.33291171LSep 19 · 13:30J. Seeman1.73811611L. Krutina2.001191143
J. Jnr10
LSep 26 · 20:00J. Jnr1.83711971M. Cmil1.8311411113LSep 26 · 18:00D. Sabuka1.611111113J. Jnr2.207990LSep 22 · 13:05P. Moulis2.101111113J. Jnr1.675820LSep 22 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5761112662P. Moulis2.251161011113WSep 22 · 10:30L. Krutina1.57611981J. Jnr2.2511911113LSep 22 · 10:00M. Vorel1.6151111113J. Jnr2.20117261LSep 19 · 13:15J. Jnr1.80131111592M. Cmil1.90156911113WSep 19 · 12:00P. Moulis2.0511111110102J. Jnr1.65813812123WSep 19 · 11:00L. Boura1.619890J. Jnr2.201111113WSep 19 · 09:30M. Cmil1.83119791J. Jnr1.8351111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Seeman
Nothing scheduled
J. Jnr
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