TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Michal Kolbusovsky vs Marek Dlask 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114118811119––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMichal Kolbusovsky above · Marek Dlask below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 73 set 4, 11-9
73 points played in total.
H2H Michal Kolbusovsky 2–5 Marek Dlask Michal Kolbusovsky has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Kolbusovsky beat Dlask 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Dlask)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dlask form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolbusovsky 2.50 / Dlask 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Dlask)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13192049
Kolbusovsky2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 54 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back18% 17 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Dlask1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite58% won 36 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it79% 26 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKolbusovsky2wins
AwayDlask5wins
4 of 7 to a deciderDlask leads 5–2, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolbusovsky33.3%1 of 3
AwayDlask75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolbusovsky3Dlask4n = 7Dlask took 4 of 7
S2Kolbusovsky3Dlask4n = 7Dlask took 4 of 7
S3Kolbusovsky3Dlask4n = 7Dlask took 4 of 7
S4Kolbusovsky1Dlask5n = 6Dlask took 5 of 6
S5Kolbusovsky2Dlask2n = 4split evenly
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricKolbusovskyDlaskK − DBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match40.041.7−1.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolbusovskyDlaskBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 466 vs 143 / 30644.9%46.7%209 / 466 vs 143 / 306Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DlaskKolbusovsky 2.50/Dlask 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Dlask · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolbusovsky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 24 · 20:20M. Kolbusovsky50111189113M. Dlask4393111192
LSep 17 · 19:50M. Kolbusovsky168260M. Dlask331111113
WJul 9 · 18:20M. Kolbusovsky49711119113M. Dlask4311761182
LJun 24 · 20:55M. Kolbusovsky33911941M. Dlask4111811113
LFeb 16 · 22:30M. Kolbusovsky331175101M. Dlask4391111123
LFeb 16 · 20:20M. Kolbusovsky50139111162M. Dlask47151137113
LFeb 3 · 20:20M. Kolbusovsky4911911992M. Dlask42511411113
M. Kolbusovsky10
WSep 24 · 20:20M. Dlask1.3693111192M. Kolbusovsky3.00111189113LSep 24 · 19:50R. Zeman1.101112113M. Kolbusovsky6.5071070LSep 24 · 18:50M. Kolbusovsky2.206990M. Nemec1.611111113WSep 21 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil1.4044120M. Kolbusovsky2.701111143LSep 21 · 20:20J. Mach1.536111411113M. Kolbusovsky2.3811816742LSep 21 · 19:50R. Zeman1.111111113M. Kolbusovsky6.004870LSep 21 · 18:50M. Kolbusovsky2.381091171Z. Vyskocil1.5312114113LSep 21 · 14:00T. Jr1.20111111113M. Kolbusovsky3.80881391WSep 21 · 12:20S. Matousch1.4411118582M. Kolbusovsky2.63891111113LSep 21 · 11:50T. Jr1.53111111113M. Kolbusovsky2.38691381
M. Dlask10
LSep 24 · 20:20M. Dlask1.3693111192M. Kolbusovsky3.00111189113LSep 24 · 19:20M. Dlask1.83711991M. Nemec1.8311911113LSep 24 · 18:20M. Dlask2.2065130R. Zeman1.611111153WSep 23 · 21:28M. Nemec1.831110811112M. Dlask1.83712115133WSep 23 · 20:20M. Dlask1.73520113113M. Nemec2.00111891192LSep 23 · 19:20M. Dlask2.635470Z. Vyskocil1.441111113LSep 23 · 18:20M. Dlask3.25841171L. Vich1.3311119113LSep 17 · 21:53M. Dlask1.6799110M. Nemec2.101111133LSep 17 · 20:50M. Nemec2.6313177143M. Dlask1.44111511121WSep 17 · 19:50M. Dlask1.501111113M. Kolbusovsky2.508260
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