TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Martin Huk vs Erik Mares 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611911––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:03 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeErik Mares to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Huk above · Erik Mares below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 54 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Erik Mares at 62.9%
54 points played in total.
H2H Martin Huk 24–18 Erik Mares Erik Mares has won 18 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:03What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Mares
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-18 in 42
Huk
Wrong
gap of 6 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Huk 1851 vs Mares 1818
Huk
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Huk 60% vs Mares 20%
Huk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Huk 70% vs Mares 20%
Huk
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Huk -1 · Mares -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Mares)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mares form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHuk 2.63 / Mares 1.44
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Mares)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13189703
Huk2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 118 of 278
Down 0–1, comes back26% 39 of 151
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 76
Mares1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 142 of 247
Up 2–0, closes it88% 92 of 105
Up 1–0, closes it73% 121 of 167
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHuk7wins
AwayMares3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHuk leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHuk100%5 of 5
AwayMares60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Huk5Mares5n = 10split evenly
S2Huk3Mares7n = 10Mares took 7 of 10
S3Huk5Mares5n = 10split evenly
S4Huk5Mares2n = 7Huk took 5 of 7
S5Huk4Mares0n = 4Huk took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHukMaresH − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.839.6−0.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHukMaresBasisWin rate · lifetime789 / 1604 vs 601 / 119749.2%50.2%789 / 1604 vs 601 / 1197Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.540.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaresHuk 2.63/Mares 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.7%
Mares · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Mares won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 01:30M. Huk351113113E. Mares2791170
WSep 13 · 08:00M. Huk49116811133E. Mares47511119112
LSep 12 · 06:00M. Huk172960E. Mares331111113
WSep 3 · 10:00M. Huk501151211113E. Mares4361114662
WSep 2 · 03:28M. Huk4111811113E. Mares33511891
WSep 1 · 23:00M. Huk48611515113E. Mares45112111382
WJan 23 · 07:00M. Huk4471313113E. Mares4211111191
LJan 17 · 11:30M. Huk378111261E. Mares45111310113
LJan 17 · 09:00M. Huk2391040E. Mares341112113
WJan 16 · 07:30M. Huk44119112113E. Mares4781181192
M. Huk10
LSep 25 · 11:30J. Cernik1.171111113M. Huk4.509560WSep 25 · 10:00M. Huk1.911618133O. Kolisnyk1.801416110LSep 22 · 03:30M. Huk2.5571050J. Kycelt1.451112113WSep 22 · 02:30J. Kycelt1.5398130M. Huk2.381111153WSep 22 · 01:00M. Wagner2.5073120M. Huk1.501111143WSep 21 · 23:30M. Huk1.619121112113R. Urbaniec2.20111051482WSep 21 · 22:00M. Huk1.6181111113O. Svacha2.20114831WSep 21 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk1.805990M. Huk1.901111113LSep 21 · 16:00M. Huk2.1031140P. Bradach1.671113113WSep 21 · 15:30J. Kanera1.7339110M. Huk2.001111133
E. Mares10
LSep 25 · 11:00O. Kolisnyk2.201111111113E. Mares1.6111813692WSep 25 · 10:30E. Mares2.201111113J. Cernik1.614940LSep 24 · 20:59J. Medek1.531011817113E. Mares2.38127111562LSep 24 · 20:30E. Mares1.8310111081J. Vales1.8312612113LSep 24 · 19:00E. Mares1.805960J. Zajicek1.911111113LSep 24 · 18:00J. Medek1.5011111119113E. Mares2.5081332132WSep 22 · 13:00J. Vales1.9531111572E. Mares1.70119611113LSep 22 · 12:00T. Kos1.611111123E. Mares2.2073100LSep 22 · 11:00J. Vales1.8361112113E. Mares1.831171091LSep 22 · 10:30E. Mares2.20114531L. Jindrak1.6131111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Huk
E. Mares
Sep 25 · 14:00E. Mares2.20J. Cernik1.61—Sep 25 · 15:30E. Mares1.67O. Kolisnyk2.10—Sep 25 · 16:00E. Mares1.50M. Huk2.50—Sep 26 · 06:30E. Mares2.10L. Jindrak1.65—Sep 26 · 07:30E. Mares2.75D. Opanasiuk1.40—Sep 26 · 08:30E. Mares1.48M. Huk2.45—Sep 26 · 10:30E. Mares2.02D. Opanasiuk1.70—Sep 26 · 11:30E. Mares2.52L. Boruvka1.40—Sep 26 · 12:30E. Mares—M. Parzhizek——
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