TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
David Stusek vs Kamil Kleprlik 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
David Stusek
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
111116116119––
Kamil Kleprlik
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:21 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeDavid Stusek to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Stusek above · Kamil Kleprlik below
Set 1 · 1-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 66 set 4, 11-9 — our read held David Stusek at 62.9%
66 points played in total.
H2H David Stusek 9–6 Kamil Kleprlik Kamil Kleprlik has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:21What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Stusek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-6 in 15
Stusek
Correct
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stusek 1600 vs Kleprlik 1588
Stusek
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stusek 40% vs Kleprlik 60%
Kleprlik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stusek 50% vs Kleprlik 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stusek +1 · Kleprlik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Stusek) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kleprlik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStusek 1.57 / Kleprlik 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Stusek)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13188336
Stusek1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 30 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it100% 14 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it78% 18 of 23
Kleprlik2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 69 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back26% 21 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStusek5wins
AwayKleprlik5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStusek50%2 of 4
AwayKleprlik50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stusek4Kleprlik6n = 10Kleprlik took 6 of 10
S2Stusek4Kleprlik6n = 10Kleprlik took 6 of 10
S3Stusek5Kleprlik5n = 10split evenly
S4Stusek6Kleprlik3n = 9Stusek took 6 of 9
S5Stusek3Kleprlik3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStusekKleprlikS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.141.0+2.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStusekKleprlikBasisWin rate · lifetime97 / 195 vs 256 / 52249.7%49%97 / 195 vs 256 / 522Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.239.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StusekStusek 1.57/Kleprlik 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Stusek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stusek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 23 · 06:15D. Stusek48810111182K. Kleprlik49111296113
WAug 12 · 16:50D. Stusek49141113113K. Kleprlik451691191
WAug 12 · 13:40D. Stusek50111189113K. Kleprlik4257111182
LJun 21 · 06:45D. Stusek3751111101K. Kleprlik4211136123
WJun 18 · 14:10D. Stusek46111149113K. Kleprlik3866111142
WMay 8 · 21:13D. Stusek4291111113K. Kleprlik32115881
LMay 8 · 19:10D. Stusek165470K. Kleprlik331111113
WApr 10 · 16:40D. Stusek48871111113K. Kleprlik3711112672
LApr 10 · 15:10D. Stusek47111171172K. Kleprlik49913115113
LMar 13 · 20:45D. Stusek4811991182K. Kleprlik43211118113
D. Stusek10
WSep 24 · 14:40B. Moravec1.50541161D. Stusek2.5011119113LSep 24 · 14:10J. Pribyl1.44118118123D. Stusek2.63811811102LSep 22 · 21:08J. Travnicek1.83971111143D. Stusek1.83111195122LSep 22 · 19:45D. Stusek1.8081140J. Travnicek1.911113113WSep 22 · 18:45D. Stusek1.8012111112113T. Fojtik1.9114341482WSep 22 · 17:45D. Stusek1.2811119113D. Vitasek3.50971171WSep 16 · 20:38D. Stusek1.574111116113A. Cizek2.2511781832LSep 16 · 19:45D. Stusek1.8010111071A. Kanak1.9112612113LSep 16 · 18:45D. Stusek1.4497111172I. Heuman2.63111186113WSep 16 · 17:45D. Stusek1.61381111113A. Cizek2.2011119392
K. Kleprlik10
LSep 24 · 16:40K. Kleprlik1.8398121582J. Pribyl1.8311111013113WSep 24 · 15:10K. Kleprlik2.20111112113J. Pribyl1.615131061LSep 24 · 13:40B. Moravec1.531111113K. Kleprlik2.388550LSep 23 · 17:15B. Mrowetz1.611112133K. Kleprlik2.20710110WSep 23 · 16:15K. Kleprlik1.831211113A. Kanak1.8310680WSep 23 · 14:45D. Jr2.38111188102K. Kleprlik1.53991111123LSep 23 · 14:15B. Mrowetz1.611111711113K. Kleprlik2.2013911782WSep 19 · 12:44K. Kleprlik1.80661111123R. Sedlacek1.91111176112LSep 19 · 11:45K. Kleprlik1.83911961F. Chaloupka1.8311611113WSep 19 · 10:45K. Kleprlik1.91911911113R. Sedlacek1.8011611782
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.