TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Milan Barton vs Miroslav Vana 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Milan Barton
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411511116711––
Miroslav Vana
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:52 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Vana to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Barton above · Miroslav Vana below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 66 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Miroslav Vana at 55.8%
66 points played in total.
H2H Milan Barton 0–1 Miroslav Vana Milan Barton has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:52What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vana
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Barton 1414 vs Vana 1514
Vana
Correct
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barton 60% vs Vana 80%
Vana
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barton 40% vs Vana 70%
Vana
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Barton +2 · Vana -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vana)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vana form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarton 2.10 / Vana 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Vana)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13186860
Barton2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 9 days ago (Sep 15) · back after a break
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 3 of 10
Down 0–1, comes back14% 1 of 7
Vana1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 22)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 50 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it75% 38 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBarton0wins
AwayVana1wins
Vana leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBartonVanaB − VBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match34.046.0−12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartonVanaBasisWin rate · lifetime14 / 39 vs 187 / 35235.9%53.1%14 / 39 vs 187 / 352Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.839.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VanaBarton 2.10/Vana 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Vana · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vana won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LApr 23 · 18:15M. Barton34315881M. Vana46111311113
M. Barton10
WSep 24 · 18:30M. Barton1.6771111113M. Drabek2.10117981WSep 15 · 21:08M. Barton1.671111113A. Dvoracek2.109640WSep 15 · 20:00A. Dvoracek1.8311871172M. Barton1.83411118113LSep 15 · 19:00J. Hanacek1.8311137113M. Barton1.835111191LSep 15 · 17:30F. Schmidtmayer2.251111113M. Barton1.579660WJul 16 · 20:29K. Jirousek1.9191050M. Barton1.801112113WJul 16 · 19:30M. Barton1.91118118113K. Jirousek1.8071171172LJul 16 · 18:30M. Barton1.441121181L. Tuma2.6381113113LJul 16 · 17:30M. Barton2.10712871F. Kubos1.67111011113LMay 25 · 20:58E. Ondracek1.5711116113M. Barton2.25561121
M. Vana10
LSep 24 · 19:00J. Marhol2.2012119113M. Vana1.611081171LSep 22 · 17:08O. Plyska1.61111111143M. Vana2.201138121WSep 22 · 16:00M. Vana2.007111213113O. Plyska1.73116101542WSep 22 · 14:30M. Hasman2.50113951M. Vana1.5091111113WSep 22 · 14:00K. Polak2.251221091M. Vana1.57101112113WSep 21 · 20:33M. Vana1.57111169113J. Vasek2.2567111132WSep 21 · 19:30J. Vasek2.00851261M. Vana1.73111110113LSep 21 · 19:00M. Vana1.9171060O. Plyska1.801112113LSep 21 · 18:00M. Vana2.2510870L. Tuma1.571211113WSep 19 · 11:15T. Hanke1.5741090M. Vana2.251112113
Upcoming Matches
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M. Vana
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