TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Petr Vodal vs Tomas Rein 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Petr Vodal
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411119911811––
Tomas Rein
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Vodal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Vodal above · Tomas Rein below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 74 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Petr Vodal at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Petr Vodal 38–40 Tomas Rein Petr Vodal has won 38 of their 78 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:21What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Rein
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
38-40 in 78
Rein
Correct
gap of 2 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vodal 1394 vs Rein 1399
Rein
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vodal 20% vs Rein 60%
Rein
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vodal 40% vs Rein 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vodal -4 · Rein -1
Vodal
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rein) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vodal form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVodal 1.83 / Rein 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rein)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13186725
Vodal1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Rein1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVodal3wins
AwayRein7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRein leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVodal33.3%1 of 3
AwayRein71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vodal3Rein7n = 10Rein took 7 of 10
S2Vodal7Rein3n = 10Vodal took 7 of 10
S3Vodal3Rein7n = 10Rein took 7 of 10
S4Vodal2Rein5n = 7Rein took 5 of 7
S5Vodal1Rein2n = 3Rein took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVodalReinV − RBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.740.3−3.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVodalReinBasisWin rate · lifetime249 / 490 vs 389 / 85350.8%45.6%249 / 490 vs 389 / 853Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.136.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ReinVodal 1.83/Rein 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rein · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rein won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 12:20P. Vodal32411981T. Rein4211911113
WSep 12 · 07:55P. Vodal361114113T. Rein2571260
LSep 5 · 10:20P. Vodal48111110972T. Rein48771211113
LSep 5 · 08:55P. Vodal51121312141T. Rein55141114163
LAug 30 · 11:20P. Vodal3411101031T. Rein4271212113
LAug 29 · 12:55P. Vodal165470T. Rein331111113
LAug 27 · 15:50P. Vodal3951141182T. Rein47118116113
WAug 25 · 14:50P. Vodal53911139113T. Rein42114111152
WAug 22 · 06:55P. Vodal4071111113T. Rein35116991
LAug 21 · 17:50P. Vodal1851030T. Rein341112113
P. Vodal10
WSep 24 · 13:24D. Vojna1.80811121252P. Vodal1.911191014113LSep 24 · 11:20P. Vodal1.8316117882D. Vojna1.831491111113LSep 24 · 10:20P. Vodal2.10611831B. Budik1.6511611113LSep 18 · 14:30P. Vodal1.8511117111S. Holik1.8591311133LSep 18 · 12:55P. Vodal2.38511891V. Koutnik1.5311111113WSep 18 · 11:55P. Vodal1.83131112113S. Holik1.8311131081WSep 18 · 10:55P. Vodal2.201111113O. Knazik1.616350LSep 13 · 18:24T. Hnizdil1.1411611113P. Vodal5.00311571LSep 13 · 17:25P. Vodal3.508740T. Hnizdil1.281111113WSep 13 · 15:55J. Dohnal1.839111121P. Vodal1.8311138113
T. Rein10
LSep 24 · 11:50B. Budik1.511011411113T. Rein2.3712211372WSep 24 · 10:50T. Rein1.731111113D. Vojna2.007380WSep 23 · 13:20D. Vojna1.803670T. Rein1.911111113WSep 23 · 12:20F. Dvorak1.2811116852T. Rein3.50421111113LSep 23 · 11:50O. Knazik1.361311113T. Rein3.0011260LSep 23 · 10:50T. Rein1.91791191D. Vojna1.8011111113LSep 22 · 17:30D. Zelezny1.44811811113T. Rein2.6311711982LSep 22 · 16:50J. Sebl1.6712128113T. Rein2.1010101181LSep 22 · 15:50T. Rein2.63614811112D. Zelezny1.441112119133LSep 22 · 14:20V. Koutnik1.5713115143T. Rein2.2511311121
Upcoming Matches
P. Vodal
Nothing scheduled
T. Rein
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