Tomas Rein vs Daniel Vojna · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT Cup

Played Sep 23Finished

Tomas Rein

Home

1.91

At publish

Lost last 6

Form at publish

1–9Last 10Lost last 6

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

711911111911––

Daniel Vojna

Away

1.80

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:49 and never touched — 63.2% is still 63.2%

Graded at full time

Daniel Vojna to win

63.2%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingTomas Rein above · Daniel Vojna below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 11-1

Set 4 · 9-11

Point 70 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Daniel Vojna at 63.2%

70 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 21:49

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Vojna

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Rein 1368 vs Vojna 1397

Vojna

Correct

both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Rein 0% vs Vojna 20%

Vojna

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Rein 10% vs Vojna 30%

Vojna

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Rein -6 · Vojna -4

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vojna) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Vojna form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsRein 1.91 / Vojna 1.80

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Vojna)+2.5pp

TT Cup · #13180679

Rein1.91

10%won 1 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 6

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog33% won 93 of 281

Down 0–1, comes back21% 37 of 180

Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 97

Vojna1.80

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 94 days ago (Jun 21) · back after a break

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite51% won 22 of 43

Up 2–0, closes it82% 9 of 11

Up 1–0, closes it67% 16 of 24

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricReinVojnaBasisWin rate · lifetime388 / 850 vs 239 / 52145.7%45.9%388 / 850 vs 239 / 521Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Vojna

Rein 1.91/Vojna 1.80

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Vojna · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Vojna won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

T. Rein10